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From the point of view of trees, the evolutionary response in terms of defense seems to be consistent with a concept<br />

k_own from deciduous species like oak <strong>or</strong> beech, as masting <strong>or</strong> mast seeding (Silvertown 1981). tn other w<strong>or</strong>ds, in some<br />

years there will be high beech-mast <strong>or</strong> ac<strong>or</strong>n production, but no seeds in the years in between. In the latter years, pest<br />

populations will decrease markedly. The strategy has probably evolved against seed predat<strong>or</strong>s but it could also w<strong>or</strong>k against<br />

_omedefoliat<strong>or</strong>s.<br />

The second line of defense is simply the variability of bud burst (Mitcherlich and Wellenstein 1942). Large variation<br />

in bud burst between provenances exist, but also large variation occurs within provenances. However, variability as a defense<br />

will mean that some larvae always will survive.<br />

The third line of defense against flush-feeders is a chemical one. Apparently, rather few spruce herbiv<strong>or</strong>es are<br />

deterred from feeding on newly burst needles to such an extent that they prefer old needles (Schopf 1986).<br />

In contrast, in pine it seems essential that flush feeders avoid plant defenses and here male flowers are of vitae<br />

imp<strong>or</strong>tance. In pine, male flowers are a m<strong>or</strong>e predictable resource than in spruce. Larvae that hatch after the flowering<br />

period will die and hence the risk of early hatch is less because male flowers are most often present. However, the strategy<br />

might fail; they might hatch on a tree without flowers, <strong>or</strong> w<strong>or</strong>se in a year without flowers in the whole stand.<br />

In the context of the phenological window it is actually necessary to consider the choices made by the female moth.<br />

Where does she deposit her eggs? Does she in fact spread the risk so that at least some of her larvae will survive? But at the<br />

same _ime,does she abandon an optimal strategy of maximizing sh<strong>or</strong>t term fitness? Essential to all these considerations are<br />

_hedevelopment time of buds and eggs, both fact<strong>or</strong>s being related to spring temperatures, although probably not in the same<br />

fashioa. I hypothesize that the position of the eggs is a key fact<strong>or</strong> in <strong>this</strong> synchronization simply because the temperature<br />

varies so much between microsites.<br />

1#mantria monacha females deposit their egg clusters mainly on the tree trunk under bark scales. Egg numbers and<br />

egg hatch differ consideraNy between n<strong>or</strong>th- and south-facing sides of the trunk (Raae 1979), and it might be that <strong>this</strong> is the<br />

mechanism the females employ when they spread the risk. This could be the way whereby females ensure that some of their<br />

progeny in <strong>this</strong> variable environment will hatch when the phenological window is open. Another bet-hedging mechanism<br />

couid be that after laying their first batch and becoming lighter, females fly to another tree and deposit the rest of their eggs.<br />

If the first tree is in the middle of a dense stand and the next is at the southern edge, the temperature regime is different and<br />

acc<strong>or</strong>dingly the bets change.<br />

litis interesting to observe that many flush feeders have wingless females <strong>or</strong> have reduced flight capability due to<br />

their heavy loads of eggs. In L monacha, females are winged but po<strong>or</strong> fliers and it is likely that the females lay their eggs<br />

close to if not directly on the tree where they pupated, thereby increasing the likelihood of synchronization between the egg<br />

i_atchand bud burst.<br />

In conclusion, avoiding defenses of new needles is absolutely necessary f<strong>or</strong> pine defoliat<strong>or</strong>s but of min<strong>or</strong> imp<strong>or</strong>tance<br />

_o spruce de_bliat<strong>or</strong>s. Bet hedging might prove to be the evolutionary response by the defoliat<strong>or</strong>s in <strong>or</strong>der to find the host's<br />

phenological window.<br />

LITERATURE CITED<br />

DEN BOER, RJ. 1968. Spreading of risk and stabilization of animal numbers. Acta Biothe<strong>or</strong>etica 18:165-194.<br />

FEEENY, P 1970. Seasonal changes in oak leaf tannins and nutrients as a cause of spring feeding by winter moth caterpillars.<br />

Ecology 51' 565-582.<br />

KEDA, T., MATSUMURA, E, and BENJAMIN, D.M. 1977. Chemical basis f<strong>or</strong> feeding adaptation of pine sawflies,<br />

,_e_:dlpr_on rug(fr<strong>or</strong>ls and Neodiprion swainei. Science 197: 497-498.<br />

JENSEN, T.S. 1988. Variability of N<strong>or</strong>way spruce needles; perf<strong>or</strong>mance of spruce sawflies (Gilpinia hercyniae). Oecologia<br />

77:313-32(t.

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