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Technology Status - NET Nowak Energie & Technologie AG

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low as 3 USD cents per kWh. Once the high up-front capital costs are<br />

written off (usually over 15 or 20 years), the plant can provide power at<br />

even lower cost levels as such systems commonly run, without major<br />

replacement costs, for 50 years or more. SHP plants have a particularly<br />

long life time and relatively low operation and maintenance costs, though<br />

many plants constructed in the last century can now benefit from<br />

refurbishment. Support to exploit SHP should be given to developing<br />

countries where it can be a very low cost option.<br />

● Solar photovoltaic power is in the early stages of its development, but<br />

can still be competitive in isolated off-grid markets and limited areas<br />

where high levels of sunshine coincide with daily (peak) power demand.<br />

For the latter market, solar PV power costs are in the range of retail utility<br />

rates of about 20 USD cents per kWh. In such circumstances, e.g.,<br />

California, photovoltaics has become competitive with retail electricity, at<br />

least as stand-by power and in “building-integrated applications” (BIPV).<br />

In the sunnier locations of Europe, the attractiveness of solar PV in the<br />

short to medium term continues to depend on incentives. In Japan, a<br />

system cost level of USD 3,000 could be reached in the next four to six<br />

years, a “docking point” (competitive with retail electricity) to selfsustained<br />

markets. Of particular interest in Japan are building-integrated<br />

solar systems – installed at the point of electricity consumption with<br />

panels that are easy to install. The other key market for solar PV is the offgrid<br />

market for rural areas, including industrial and agricultural uses in<br />

developed countries, and rural systems in developing countries. The<br />

challenge of delivering affordable energy in developing countries is<br />

immense. In these circumstances the primary focus should be on<br />

“productive uses” for such income-generating activities as water<br />

pumping, refrigeration, lighting and other uses that improve the<br />

economic welfare of rural communities.<br />

● Concentrating solar power is limited in its competitive market potential<br />

to arid and semi-arid areas with strong “direct gain” solar radiation. The<br />

cost of concentrating solar power generated with up-to-date technology<br />

is estimated to be between 10 to 15 USD cents per kWh, with good longterm<br />

cost reduction potential. CSP plants can also be “hybridised” in<br />

combination with a thermal generator to improve marketability (solar<br />

share of power plant) and dispatch-ability (power production on<br />

demand).<br />

● Where bio-feedstocks are abundant and their pre-treatment<br />

requirements are modest, biopower costs can be as low as 3 USD cents<br />

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY X

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