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Technology Status - NET Nowak Energie & Technologie AG

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Costs [USD/kW]<br />

8000<br />

7000<br />

6000<br />

5000<br />

4000<br />

3000<br />

2000<br />

1000<br />

0<br />

Figure 35<br />

Performance Improvement and Cost Reduction with Increasing Production Rates<br />

Regional Factors<br />

Market entry costs for CSP technology are very difficult to quantify using simple<br />

formulae because they depend on prices of the alternative energy sources in<br />

that specific location and on the availability of incentives. Trough and power<br />

tower technology could become competitive (a) at USD 0.06-USD 0.08/kWh as<br />

peak power, (b) at USD 0.30/kWh in developing countries for specific industrial<br />

and mini-grid applications or (c) in places with very high peak power costs.<br />

A number of projects are currently under development (see Table 22), some<br />

of them within the framework of Operational Program No. 7 of the Global<br />

Environmental Facility (Egypt, India, Iran, Mexico and Morocco).<br />

Present parabolic trough installed capacity is 354 MW worldwide, though<br />

projects under development, plus hybrid installations, may bring that capacity<br />

to 650 MW, about 94% of the world’s capacity, by 2005. With an expected<br />

growth rate of 20%, parabolic trough installed capacity would be 1,600 MW<br />

by 2010 and a little more than 10 GW by 2020. Based on these estimates,<br />

parabolic trough would still be the leading CSP technology in 2020.<br />

The total experience with power towers has amounted to only 25 MW, the<br />

combined output of the Solar One and Solar Two prototypes, both built in<br />

the US. No large power tower plants are currently operational. Central<br />

4<br />

100 1000 3000 10000<br />

Production rate [units/year]<br />

Source: <strong>NET</strong> Ltd., Switzerland.<br />

CONCENTRATING SOLAR POWER<br />

Costs Efficiency<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

91<br />

Peak system efficiency [%]

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