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Effectiveness <strong>of</strong> mitoxantrone plus <strong>prednisone</strong><br />

plus clodronate versus mitoxantrone plus<br />

<strong>prednisone</strong> plus placebo<br />

Overall survival<br />

Overall survival was defined as <strong>the</strong> time from <strong>the</strong><br />

date <strong>of</strong> randomisation to <strong>the</strong> date <strong>of</strong> death <strong>or</strong><br />

cens<strong>or</strong>ed at <strong>the</strong> date when patient was last known<br />

to be alive. Eighty-seven <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> 104 patients in <strong>the</strong><br />

clodronate group and 89 <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> 105 patients in <strong>the</strong><br />

placebo group died. The HR f<strong>or</strong> death (placebo to<br />

clodronate) was 0.95 (95% CI: 0.71 to 1.28). The<br />

median overall survival was 10.8 months (95% CI:<br />

8.2 to 13.0) in <strong>the</strong> clodronate group and<br />

11.5 months (95% CI: 8.8 to 14.4) in <strong>the</strong> placebo<br />

group.<br />

Overall survival was statistically significantly<br />

associated <strong>with</strong> a baseline haemoglobin level <strong>of</strong><br />

m<strong>or</strong>e than 100 g/l compared <strong>with</strong> those <strong>with</strong> a<br />

baseline haemoglobin level <strong>of</strong> less than 100 g/l:<br />

<strong>the</strong> HR f<strong>or</strong> death was 0.52 (95% CI: 0.35 to 0.78;<br />

p = 0.001).<br />

Progression-free survival<br />

Symptomatic progression-free survival was defined<br />

as <strong>the</strong> time from randomisation to <strong>the</strong> date <strong>of</strong><br />

progression (pain <strong>or</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r symptoms), <strong>or</strong> date <strong>of</strong><br />

death f<strong>or</strong> those who died <strong>with</strong>out progression.<br />

Ninety-five patients in <strong>the</strong> clodronate group and<br />

101 patients in <strong>the</strong> placebo group developed<br />

progression. The HR <strong>of</strong> developing progression<br />

(placebo to clodronate) was 1.24 (95% CI: 0.93 to<br />

1.64). The median symptomatic progression-free<br />

survival was 5.0 months (95% CI: 4.1 to 6.8) in <strong>the</strong><br />

clodronate group and 4.0 months (95% CI: 2.9 to<br />

4.9) in <strong>the</strong> placebo group.<br />

Symptomatic progression-free survival was<br />

statistically significantly associated <strong>with</strong> a baseline<br />

haemoglobin level <strong>of</strong> m<strong>or</strong>e than 100 g/l compared<br />

<strong>with</strong> those <strong>with</strong> a baseline haemoglobin level <strong>of</strong><br />

less than 100 g/l: HR = 0.67 (95% CI: 0.46 to<br />

0.99; p = 0.04).<br />

Response rate<br />

Palliative response was <strong>the</strong> primary end-point f<strong>or</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> trial, defined as ei<strong>the</strong>r a 2-point reduction in<br />

PPI <strong>with</strong>out an increase in analgesic sc<strong>or</strong>e <strong>or</strong><br />

evidence <strong>of</strong> disease progression, <strong>or</strong> m<strong>or</strong>e than 50%<br />

decrease in analgesic sc<strong>or</strong>e <strong>with</strong>out an increase in<br />

PPI, on two consecutive evaluations at least<br />

3 weeks apart. There was no statistically significant<br />

difference in palliative response rate between <strong>the</strong><br />

clodronate group and <strong>the</strong> placebo group (43<br />

versus 37.5%, p = 0.52). This gives an RR f<strong>or</strong><br />

response <strong>of</strong> 1.14 (95% CI: 0.81 to 1.59). However,<br />

when looking at <strong>the</strong> subgroup <strong>of</strong> patients <strong>with</strong> a<br />

© Queen’s Printer and Controller <strong>of</strong> HMSO 2007. All rights reserved.<br />

Health Technology Assessment 2007; Vol. 11: No. 2<br />

baseline PPI sc<strong>or</strong>e <strong>of</strong> 3 <strong>or</strong> 4 (moderate pain), as<br />

opposed to 1 <strong>or</strong> 2 (mild pain), <strong>the</strong> difference in<br />

palliative response rate between <strong>the</strong> clodronate<br />

group and <strong>the</strong> placebo group was statistically<br />

significant [58 versus 26%, odds ratio (OR) f<strong>or</strong><br />

palliative response f<strong>or</strong> <strong>the</strong> clodronate arm<br />

compared <strong>with</strong> <strong>the</strong> placebo arm = 4.6, p = 0.04].<br />

The median duration <strong>of</strong> palliative response was<br />

6.2 months (95% CI: 5.0 to 9.2) f<strong>or</strong> <strong>the</strong> clodronate<br />

group and 6.4 months (95% CI: 4.0 to 9.6) f<strong>or</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

placebo group; <strong>the</strong> difference was not statistically<br />

significant.<br />

Health-related quality <strong>of</strong> life<br />

HRQoL response was defined as a 1-cm<br />

improvement on a 10-cm visual analogue scale,<br />

maintained on two consecutive visits, no less than<br />

3 weeks apart. There was no statistically significant<br />

difference in HRQoL response between <strong>the</strong><br />

clodronate group (37.5%) and <strong>the</strong> placebo group<br />

(42%). This gives an RR f<strong>or</strong> QoL <strong>of</strong> 0.89 (95% CI:<br />

0.64 to 1.25).<br />

Pain<br />

Pain was assessed using <strong>the</strong> PPI scale from <strong>the</strong><br />

McGill–Melzack questionnaire. Sc<strong>or</strong>es range from<br />

0 to 5, <strong>with</strong> higher sc<strong>or</strong>es indicating m<strong>or</strong>e pain.<br />

Analgesic use was assessed using a diary and an<br />

analgesic sc<strong>or</strong>e was calculated by assigning a sc<strong>or</strong>e<br />

<strong>of</strong> 1 f<strong>or</strong> a standard dose <strong>of</strong> non-opioids and a<br />

sc<strong>or</strong>e <strong>of</strong> 2 f<strong>or</strong> opioid doses <strong>of</strong> m<strong>or</strong>phine 10 mg<br />

equivalents. Pain response was defined as a<br />

2-point <strong>or</strong> m<strong>or</strong>e reduction in PPI sc<strong>or</strong>e in<br />

comparison <strong>with</strong> baseline, irrespective <strong>of</strong><br />

analgesic response. Analgesic response was<br />

defined as a 50% <strong>or</strong> m<strong>or</strong>e decrease in analgesic<br />

sc<strong>or</strong>e from baseline <strong>with</strong> no increase in pain.<br />

There was no statistically significant difference in<br />

pain response <strong>or</strong> analgesic response between <strong>the</strong><br />

clodronate group (33% pain response, 33%<br />

analgesic response) and <strong>the</strong> placebo group (26%<br />

pain response, 30% analgesic response); giving an<br />

RR f<strong>or</strong> pain response <strong>of</strong> 1.27 (95% CI: 0.83 to<br />

1.95). About 31% <strong>of</strong> patients in <strong>the</strong> clodronate<br />

group no longer required analgesics f<strong>or</strong> two<br />

consecutive cycles, compared <strong>with</strong> 25% in <strong>the</strong><br />

placebo group; again, <strong>the</strong> difference was not<br />

statistically significant.<br />

PSA decline<br />

PSA response was defined as a 50% <strong>or</strong> m<strong>or</strong>e<br />

reduction from baseline in serum PSA levels f<strong>or</strong> at<br />

least two visits. Thirty patients in <strong>the</strong> clodronate<br />

group had a PSA response (29.7%) compared <strong>with</strong><br />

30 patients (28.6%) in <strong>the</strong> placebo group; giving<br />

an RR f<strong>or</strong> PSA decline <strong>of</strong> 1.04 (95% CI: 0.68<br />

to 1.59).<br />

33

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