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46<br />

Economic review<br />

TABLE 20 Summary <strong>of</strong> cost-effectiveness<br />

Intervention Mean costs (CAN$) Mean quality- ICER<br />

adjusted weeks<br />

M + P 27,300 41.5<br />

P 29,000 28.2<br />

Incremental –1,700 13.3 M + P dominates P<br />

M, mitoxantrone; P, <strong>prednisone</strong>.<br />

Comments<br />

The economic analysis is based on patient-level<br />

data from CCI-NOV22, and as such <strong>the</strong> results are<br />

likely to have good internal validity. However, <strong>the</strong><br />

study does suffer from some potential limitations<br />

which affect its applicability f<strong>or</strong> healthcare<br />

decision-making <strong>with</strong>in <strong>the</strong> NHS. First, it is<br />

unclear how generalisable <strong>the</strong> results are to <strong>the</strong><br />

NHS setting. The study was undertaken in Canada<br />

using Canadian practice patterns and <strong>the</strong> auth<strong>or</strong>s<br />

suggest that <strong>the</strong> results should only be generalised<br />

to similar healthcare systems. In addition, <strong>the</strong><br />

rep<strong>or</strong>t presents total costs per categ<strong>or</strong>y <strong>with</strong> no<br />

separation between <strong>the</strong> unit costs and resource<br />

use. This fur<strong>the</strong>r limits <strong>the</strong> transfer <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> results<br />

to NHS practice. Second, <strong>the</strong> analysis undertaken<br />

<strong>with</strong>in <strong>the</strong> study only considers <strong>the</strong> comparison <strong>of</strong><br />

mitoxantrone plus <strong>prednisone</strong> <strong>with</strong><br />

<strong>prednisone</strong>/<strong>prednisolone</strong> alone. Theref<strong>or</strong>e, <strong>the</strong><br />

analysis ign<strong>or</strong>es o<strong>the</strong>r chemo<strong>the</strong>rapies that are<br />

potentially relevant to <strong>the</strong> NHS (i.e. docetaxel and<br />

estramustine). Finally, <strong>the</strong> valuation <strong>of</strong> benefit<br />

undertaken <strong>with</strong>in <strong>the</strong> analysis involved translating<br />

measures <strong>of</strong> QoL obtained from patient completed<br />

questionnaires into a proxy rating scale and <strong>the</strong>n<br />

to utilities via a published equation. This does not<br />

conf<strong>or</strong>m to <strong>the</strong> requirements <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> NICE<br />

reference case, which recommend societal<br />

valuations obtained using a standardised and<br />

validated generic instrument.<br />

Company submissions<br />

Review <strong>of</strong> San<strong>of</strong>i-Aventis (2005). 61<br />

Spons<strong>or</strong> submission to <strong>the</strong> National<br />

Institute f<strong>or</strong> Health and Clinical<br />

Excellence: Taxotere ® (docetaxel) in<br />

Metastatic H<strong>or</strong>mone-refract<strong>or</strong>y<br />

Prostate Cancer (mHRPC)<br />

Overview<br />

The economic analysis in <strong>the</strong> submission by<br />

San<strong>of</strong>i-Aventis evaluated <strong>the</strong> cost-effectiveness <strong>of</strong><br />

docetaxel plus <strong>prednisone</strong> (3-weekly regimen)<br />

compared <strong>with</strong> mitoxantrone plus <strong>prednisone</strong>.<br />

The evaluation was based on an analysis <strong>of</strong><br />

patient-level data derived from prospective<br />

collection <strong>of</strong> resource use and patient outcome<br />

data from <strong>the</strong> TAX 327 clinical trial. Although<br />

TAX 327 included two alternative docetaxel<br />

regimens (3-weekly and weekly administration),<br />

only <strong>the</strong> 3-weekly regimen was considered in<br />

<strong>the</strong> cost-effectiveness analysis due to current<br />

licensing.<br />

The analysis was undertaken from an NHS<br />

perspective. Overall costs were separated into two<br />

main elements: <strong>the</strong> first-line chemo<strong>the</strong>rapy phase<br />

(comprising <strong>the</strong> drug acquisition costs, costs <strong>of</strong><br />

administration and hospitalisations f<strong>or</strong> adverse<br />

events) and <strong>the</strong> follow-up phase (including<br />

subsequent chemo<strong>the</strong>rapy, palliative <strong>the</strong>rapies and<br />

hospitalisations). The primary outcome f<strong>or</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

cost-effectiveness analysis was life-years gained<br />

based on a comparison <strong>of</strong> overall survival in <strong>the</strong><br />

different intervention groups. Separate life-years<br />

gained estimates were provided based on a <strong>with</strong>intrial<br />

comparison (using median survival data) and<br />

a lifetime comparison (using mean survival data).<br />

The lifetime comparison was based on an<br />

extrapolation approach using parametric survival<br />

analysis. Decision uncertainty was assessed using<br />

simple deterministic sensitivity analysis.<br />

A brief summary <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> evaluation is provided in<br />

Table 21. The key features are described in m<strong>or</strong>e<br />

detail below.<br />

Summary <strong>of</strong> effectiveness data<br />

Survival estimates were based on patient-level data<br />

from <strong>the</strong> TAX 327 trial. Two separate analyses<br />

were undertaken: (1) a <strong>with</strong>in-trial analysis – using<br />

median survival estimates and (2) a lifetime analysis<br />

– based on mean survival duration. In <strong>or</strong>der to<br />

estimate mean survival duration, it is necessary to<br />

estimate <strong>the</strong> area under <strong>the</strong> entire survival curve.<br />

In situations in which cens<strong>or</strong>ing exists, <strong>the</strong> survival<br />

curves must be extrapolated beyond <strong>the</strong> observed<br />

data to eliminate right cens<strong>or</strong>ing. Consequently, a<br />

parametric survival model was fitted in <strong>or</strong>der to<br />

obtain an estimate <strong>of</strong> mean survival duration f<strong>or</strong><br />

each <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> two interventions.

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