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3.7.4 Details of the scenarios<br />

CYPRUS- III. National Study<br />

Table 3.7. Baseline Scenario: Development of RES, RES supply in electricity and RES supply<br />

in electricity<br />

Development of RES<br />

2002 2005 2010 2015 2020<br />

Wind (MW) 0 10 50 100 150<br />

PV (MW) 0 0,2 1 1,6 2,5<br />

Biomass-MSW (MWe)-(MWh) 0 0.45-0.7 3.3-4.7 4.3-6 4.3-6<br />

Small-hydro (MW) 0 0,2 0,5 0,75 1<br />

SHWS (1000 m 2 ) 655 670 695 720 745<br />

Biofuels (1000 tn) 0 0 5 30 80<br />

RES supply in electricity<br />

Wind (GWh) 0 23 114 215 315<br />

PV (GWh) 0 0,3 1,5 2,4 3,8<br />

Biomass (GWh) 0 3,0 21,7 28,3 28,3<br />

Small-hydro (GWh) 0 1,2 3 4,5 6<br />

RES electricity production (GWh) 0 27 140 250 353<br />

Electricity generated before RUE (GWh) 3785 4340 4950 5440 5850<br />

Electricity generated after RUE (GWh) 3785 4297 4777 5114 5353<br />

RES supply in electricity demand 0% 1% 3% 5% 7%<br />

RES supply in heat and transport<br />

Biomass heat (ktoe) 0 0.4 2.655 3.39 3.39<br />

SHWS (ktoe) 32.6 33.3 34.54 35.78 37.03<br />

RES heat (ktoe) 32.6 33.7 37.2 39.17 40.42<br />

Heat demand (ktoe) 867 875 897.2 1015 1124<br />

Heat demand with RUE measures (ktoe) 867 867 865.8 953,9 1029<br />

RES supply in heat demand 3.8% 3.9% 4.3% 4.1% 3.9%<br />

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