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Mediterranean Action Plan

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EGYPT - National study<br />

includes ensuring availability of supply to different end-users at fair prices. The role of the<br />

agency is still limited.<br />

Electricity market profile<br />

The present electricity market in Egypt is composed of two submarkets:<br />

1) The unified power system of Egypt in which EETC acts as a single buyer of bulk power,<br />

purchasing electricity from the generating companies through Power Purchase<br />

Agreements (PPAs) and selling it to the distribution companies and UHV and HV<br />

customers. The vision of the Egyptian Regulatory Agency is to gradually transform the<br />

market structure from a single buyer – based structure to a free market based on<br />

bilateral contracts or similar. In addition to the generation companies owned by EEHC,<br />

the power sector includes few Independent Power Producers (IPPs) selling electricity to<br />

EETC through long term PPAs. They are mainly NREA‟s wind power plants and three<br />

private thermal power plants under BOOT financing schemes.<br />

2) Isolated limited sub-market comprising mostly tourist villages and resorts at the Red Sea<br />

and the Sinai Peninsula that are mainly served by IPPs.<br />

1.3 Energy S u pply, Dema n d and Produc ti o n: Evo luti o n and<br />

S tr uc t ure<br />

1.3.1 Electricity Access<br />

Rural electrification has been a major government initiative in the last 35 years. The Rural<br />

Electrification Authority (REA) was established in 1971 with a mandate to electrify all rural<br />

areas across Egypt. Its progress in the residential sector can be seen in Table (I.5), which<br />

shows that most of the effort was done between 1975 and 1995 to decrease the share of<br />

rural population without electricity from 45% to only 5%. This ratio has further decreased to<br />

reach to 2.2% by 2005 and is expected to go down to 1.2% by the year 2015.<br />

This high rate of access to electricity enabled the Egyptian government for expanding its<br />

efforts to support new land reclamation projects that have already increased new reclaimed<br />

areas' agricultural productivity, provided new job opportunities, maximized the output of agroindustrial<br />

projects, and stemmed migration to large cities. Egypt is highly exceeding the<br />

objective of the MSSD to cut by half the percentage of the population without access to<br />

electricity by 2015 compared to that of the year 1990.<br />

Table 4 Percentage share of total, urban, and rural population without access to electricity<br />

Item 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015<br />

ENE_C10 Share of<br />

total population<br />

(%) 33 24.4 13.5 7.3 3.8 2.8 1.7 1.2 0.9<br />

Share of urban<br />

Population<br />

(%) 17 10.5 7.5 3.8 2.2 1.6 0.9 0.8 0.64<br />

Share of rural<br />

Population<br />

(%) 45 35 18 10 5 3.7 2.3 1.5 1.1<br />

Note: Average ratio of rural population= 57% of total population<br />

1.3.2 Evolution and Structure of the Energy Demand<br />

Evolution of primary energy demand<br />

Oil and gas demand<br />

Table (I.6) shows the evolution of primary energy demand since 1981/82 till 2004/05 that has<br />

annually increased by 4.64% in average. During the last 25 years natural gas demand has<br />

grown rapidly by an average growth rate of 13% compared to other sources, mainly driven by<br />

increased demand from thermal power plants. Demand for oil has grown in average by<br />

3.34% annually and started to rise after being relatively flat since 1997/98 till 2003/04. The<br />

rise for the year 2004/05 was mainly due to the decrease in the supply of NG for power<br />

stations. Other resources from hydropower and coal have a modest growth rate which<br />

means that they are more or less flat. However, RE is being considered only from wind as<br />

solar water heaters output is not well documented. If we consider the last 15 years from<br />

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