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Mediterranean Action Plan

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TURKEY - National Study<br />

Table 43 Winter season air pollution trends in Turkish cities [55]<br />

Coal use in thermal power plants to produce electricity is a significant source of pollution.<br />

The industrial sector is also an important contributor. In 2000, coal and lignite accounted for<br />

about 32% of total electricity production and for 33% of final energy consumption in the<br />

industrial sector. Low quality and high sulphur lignite is used especially in electricity<br />

generation. In 2000, the electricity production sector emitted 1.32 million tones of SO2, 0.19<br />

million tones of NOx and 0.16 million tones of particulates. On the other hand, base case<br />

projections by MENR [103] for electricity demand indicate an increase by a factor of two and<br />

a half by 2012, which will have to be met by 41 GW of new capacity. Of this capacity, 19% is<br />

expected to be fuelled by lignite and another 3% by imported coal for a total of 8.6 GW of<br />

new coal capacity. As current coal fuelled capacity is about 8.36 GW, this would mean nearly<br />

tripling the present use of lignite and hard coal for electricity generation. Over the same<br />

period, consumption of lignite in the industrial sector would increase by about 50% and<br />

consumption of hard coal (mostly imported) by about 160%. If the projected increases in coal<br />

use are not met with adequate investments in SO2, NOx and TSP abatement technologies,<br />

the resulting emissions could more than double [171].<br />

Other significant sources of SOx, NOx and TSP are high sulphur fuel oil use in power<br />

generation and industry and automotive fuel use in transport. The latter, in particular, is<br />

bound to increase rapidly in the next two decades. The transport sector is dominated by road<br />

transport, and vehicle ownership is increasing fast [171]. On the other hand, capacity<br />

utilization of available rail lines for passenger transport is very low for inter-city traffic and<br />

higher for suburban lines, suggesting that the construction of new mass transportation<br />

systems needs to concentrate on large metropolitan areas and take account of consumer<br />

preferences. Although the projected growth of energy demand in transport is not nearly as<br />

fast as that in the power generation and industrial sectors, the growth potential for pollutant<br />

emissions is large. Characteristically, the transport sector produces emissions of lead and<br />

carbon monoxide besides the other usual pollutants [46,103].<br />

Table 44 shows the calculated CO2 and CH4 emissions for the main sectors, such as energy<br />

and cycle, industry, transportation, households and others in Turkey. Table 45 also shows<br />

the total emission estimates with five year intervals in the country.<br />

Table 44 Estimated CO2 and CH4 emissions in different energy-consuming sectors in Turkey<br />

611

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