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Mediterranean Action Plan

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EGYPT - National study<br />

Petroleum<br />

Percentage<br />

3650 3750 4250 4540 5020 7400 7620 8390 7590 8280<br />

share (%) 4.39 4.40 4.54 4.67 4.90 6.72 6.89 7.09 6.16 6.04<br />

10247 10998 11068<br />

Total 83070 85260 93660 97220 0 0 0<br />

Source: the Organization for Energy <strong>Plan</strong>ning (OEP), different annual reports<br />

11826<br />

0<br />

12322<br />

0<br />

13711<br />

0<br />

Over the next fifty years, total commercial energy consumed in Egypt is projected to continue<br />

to increase. There is however some debate as to the rate of increase in demand. Some<br />

believe that the rate of increase will be high, leading to greater concerns about the<br />

sustainable supply of hydrocarbon-based energy and the impact on the global environment.<br />

Others believe that the rate of increase will generally stabilize or decline, either because of<br />

proactive decisions to be more efficient in use of energy or because we find ourselves in an<br />

energy-constrained situation which forces us to modify our demand for, and use of, energy.<br />

Egypt national strategy study on the clean development mechanism (2003) has estimated a<br />

GHG emissions annual growth rate of 4.9%from energy related activities. This would lead to<br />

a contribution from energy in total GHG emissions in Egypt by 392000 Gg CO2 equivalent by<br />

the year 2021/22.<br />

Egypt has signed and ratified UNFCCC and Kyoto protocol, where both the convention and<br />

the protocol have interred into force in 5/3/1995 and 12/4/2005 respectively. Egypt's official<br />

position on current discussions and future negotiations concerning post 2012 is favorable to<br />

the extension of Kyoto protocol beyond 2012.<br />

1.4.3 Other Impacts on the Environment<br />

The issues of greenhouse gases, global warming, climate change, and <strong>Mediterranean</strong> Sea<br />

pollution are of great concern for Egypt. Global warming and climate change can affect the<br />

low-lying levels of coastal zones, as well as affect agriculture crop pattern in the Nile delta.<br />

ENE_CO4: Number of energy infrastructure on <strong>Mediterranean</strong> costal areas:<br />

The following energy infrastructures currently exist in 2005/2006:<br />

8 power stations (including 2 north of the Suez Gulf).<br />

3 refineries<br />

The plan for 2021/22 includes the following additional infrastructures:<br />

4 power stations<br />

2 refineries<br />

In addition to the above-mentioned infrastructure, other impacts can be discussed as<br />

follows:<br />

Water Pollution<br />

Oil spills are energy-related source of water pollution due to their devastating after effects.<br />

About half of Europe‟s oil imports pass through the Red Sea, the Suez Canal and the<br />

<strong>Mediterranean</strong>. In addition, substantial offshore oil explorations and drilling activities are<br />

underway in Egypt‟s territorial waters. Similarly, water is an important component in thermal<br />

electricity generation. Large electric power plants require large amounts of water for cooling.<br />

Some plants are often built with “once through” cooling systems in which waste heat is<br />

discharged directly into water bodies and could cause harm to the aquatic and marine life.<br />

Effects on Ecosystems<br />

This is an area of major concern in Egypt due to land use conflicts between development<br />

projects, protected areas and oil and gas exploration, production and transmission,<br />

specifically in the <strong>Mediterranean</strong> and the Red Sea coastlines. In addition, most of the oil<br />

refineries and power stations exist in urban heavily populated centers such as Cairo,<br />

Alexandria and Suez, causing adverse impacts on urban environment.<br />

257

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