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Effectiveness and Economic Impact of Tax Incentives in the SADC ...

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8. Conclusions <strong>and</strong><br />

Recommendations<br />

We opened this study with a question about <strong>in</strong>vestment tax <strong>in</strong>centives from 25 years ago:<br />

“Why should schemes whose impact is ei<strong>the</strong>r slight or unknown be so widespread <strong>and</strong><br />

popular <strong>in</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g countries?” This question is just as relevant today because<br />

<strong>in</strong>ternational experience with tax <strong>in</strong>centives rema<strong>in</strong>s decidedly mixed. Some countries, such<br />

as Mauritius <strong>and</strong> Malaysia, have used <strong>in</strong>centives effectively <strong>in</strong> conjunction with o<strong>the</strong>r policies<br />

to stimulate efficient <strong>in</strong>vestment, rapid growth, <strong>and</strong> structural transformation. Many o<strong>the</strong>rs,<br />

<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g several <strong>SADC</strong> countries, have <strong>of</strong>fered generous tax <strong>in</strong>centives with little to show for<br />

it <strong>in</strong> employment, growth, <strong>and</strong> productivity. Still o<strong>the</strong>r countries, such as Ug<strong>and</strong>a <strong>and</strong><br />

Indonesia, have ended special tax <strong>in</strong>centives <strong>in</strong> favor <strong>of</strong> improv<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> basic tax system<br />

without dim<strong>in</strong>ish<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>vestment or growth. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, even <strong>in</strong> some <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> success cases,<br />

tax <strong>in</strong>centives have been associated with revenue loss, fiscal imbalance, economic <strong>in</strong>efficiency,<br />

abusive tax avoidance schemes, <strong>and</strong> pressure from <strong>in</strong>terest groups seek<strong>in</strong>g to benefit at <strong>the</strong><br />

expense <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> treasury.<br />

The objective <strong>of</strong> this study has been to (1) review <strong>the</strong> use <strong>of</strong> tax <strong>in</strong>centive policies <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>SADC</strong><br />

region <strong>and</strong> (2) provide <strong>of</strong>ficials <strong>and</strong> stakeholders <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> region with a balanced explanation <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> issues so <strong>the</strong>y may better underst<strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> conditions under which tax <strong>in</strong>centive programs<br />

are likely to succeed or fail. We have exam<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>the</strong> basic economics <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestment tax<br />

<strong>in</strong>centives; some <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> tools used <strong>in</strong> economic policy analysis; <strong>the</strong> advantages <strong>and</strong><br />

disadvantages <strong>of</strong> alternative tax <strong>in</strong>struments for stimulat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>vestment; <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> problem <strong>of</strong><br />

harmful tax competition. In do<strong>in</strong>g so, we have drawn widely on <strong>the</strong>oretical <strong>and</strong> empirical<br />

literature about determ<strong>in</strong>ants <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestment, <strong>the</strong> economics <strong>of</strong> taxation, <strong>and</strong> lessons from<br />

<strong>in</strong>ternational <strong>and</strong> regional experience. Our general conclusions are as follows:<br />

1. Non-tax factors are far more important than tax <strong>in</strong>centives <strong>in</strong> determ<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> level <strong>and</strong><br />

quality <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestment flows. Non-tax factors <strong>in</strong>clude <strong>the</strong> stability <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> political system,<br />

<strong>the</strong> macroeconomic policy environment, <strong>the</strong> skills <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> labor force, <strong>the</strong> condition <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong>frastructure, <strong>the</strong> legal <strong>and</strong> judicial framework, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> efficiency <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> bank<strong>in</strong>g system.

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