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Effectiveness and Economic Impact of Tax Incentives in the SADC ...

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3-14 EFFECTIVENESS AND IMPACT OF TAX INCENTIVES IN THE <strong>SADC</strong> REGION<br />

•<br />

to extrapolate from East Asian cases to recommend selective <strong>in</strong>terventions as a tool for<br />

<strong>in</strong>dustrial policy <strong>in</strong> countries with weaker public adm<strong>in</strong>istration <strong>and</strong> highly politicized<br />

procedures for decid<strong>in</strong>g who qualifies for benefits. The ma<strong>in</strong> conclusion from decades <strong>of</strong><br />

experience is that develop<strong>in</strong>g countries have largely failed <strong>in</strong> repeated efforts to nurture<br />

<strong>in</strong>fant <strong>in</strong>dustries by subsidiz<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> protect<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>efficient operations.<br />

The statement that <strong>in</strong>centives foster low-productivity <strong>in</strong>vestment is mitigated by <strong>the</strong><br />

importance <strong>of</strong> “footloose” projects that can just as well locate elsewhere. Such projects<br />

may be highly efficient, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>y can make a large contribution to knowledge transfer, job<br />

creation, <strong>and</strong> development. This argument applies ma<strong>in</strong>ly to footloose export-oriented<br />

projects. 34<br />

Ano<strong>the</strong>r consideration is that tax preferences may lead to social benefits that<br />

counterbalance <strong>the</strong> economic efficiency costs. For example, Zambia has a 15 percent<br />

<strong>in</strong>come tax rate for farm operations <strong>and</strong> a 35 percent rate for most o<strong>the</strong>r companies. This<br />

tax structure may draw resources <strong>in</strong>to agricultural <strong>in</strong>vestments that have a low rate <strong>of</strong><br />

return. Yet <strong>the</strong> policy reflects a political consensus to support farm enterprises,<br />

irrespective <strong>of</strong> productivity considerations. The important th<strong>in</strong>g is that such political<br />

decisions should be based on a clear underst<strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> economic consequences.<br />

Distorted Technical Decisions. In addition to favor<strong>in</strong>g certa<strong>in</strong> sectors, tax <strong>in</strong>centives also<br />

distort technical decisions. Poorly designed programs have un<strong>in</strong>tended consequences that<br />

may operate at cross purposes with o<strong>the</strong>r objectives <strong>of</strong> government policy. For example,<br />

⎯ <strong>Tax</strong> preferences that reduce <strong>the</strong> cost <strong>of</strong> capital systematically favor capital-<strong>in</strong>tensive<br />

over labor-<strong>in</strong>tensive <strong>in</strong>vestments, which reduces <strong>the</strong> impact <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestment on job<br />

creation.<br />

⎯ <strong>Tax</strong> holidays will favor short-term over long-term <strong>in</strong>vestments. 35<br />

⎯ Exemptions from import duty on capital goods will favor production activities that<br />

depend on imported capital, reduc<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>centive to develop local capital goods<br />

<strong>in</strong>dustries.<br />

⎯ Exemptions from duty on imported raw materials <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>termediate goods favor<br />

activities that use imported <strong>in</strong>puts, impair<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> development <strong>of</strong> backward<br />

l<strong>in</strong>kages. 36<br />

to experiment <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>novate is suppressed. What appears to be a low-return activity for <strong>the</strong> entrepreneur can<br />

have a high rate <strong>of</strong> return for <strong>the</strong> economy overall.<br />

34 To be sure, not all export projects are equal. Some enclave export activities generate few benefits for <strong>the</strong> host<br />

economy, even though <strong>the</strong>y may be efficient <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir production technology.<br />

35 UNCTAD (2002), p. 219 cites studies show<strong>in</strong>g that <strong>in</strong>vestment tax <strong>in</strong>centives <strong>in</strong> Brazil, Indonesia, Malaysia,<br />

Mexico, Pakistan, Thail<strong>and</strong>, <strong>and</strong> Turkey “led to distorted <strong>in</strong>vestment decisions, partly because <strong>the</strong>y<br />

discrim<strong>in</strong>ated between firms that showed losses <strong>in</strong> early years <strong>and</strong> those that did not, <strong>and</strong> between relatively<br />

capital-<strong>in</strong>tensive <strong>and</strong> relatively labour-<strong>in</strong>tensive activities.”<br />

36 Moran (2001) f<strong>in</strong>ds that l<strong>in</strong>kage requirements tend to backfire by mak<strong>in</strong>g down-stream activities less<br />

pr<strong>of</strong>itable, which reduces <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>and</strong> slows growth. He concludes that l<strong>in</strong>kage effects develop more<br />

strongly when producers are given <strong>the</strong> freedom to pursue market <strong>in</strong>centives.

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