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Effectiveness and Economic Impact of Tax Incentives in the SADC ...

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1. Introduction<br />

Why should schemes whose impact is ei<strong>the</strong>r slight or unknown be so widespread <strong>and</strong> popular<br />

<strong>in</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g countries?-- Shah <strong>and</strong> Toye (1978)<br />

The use <strong>of</strong> tax <strong>in</strong>centives is widespread even though <strong>the</strong> available empirical evidence on <strong>the</strong><br />

cost effectiveness <strong>of</strong> such <strong>in</strong>centives <strong>in</strong> stimulat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>vestment is highly <strong>in</strong>conclusive.-- Zee,<br />

Stotsky <strong>and</strong> Ley (2002)<br />

These passages come from two major papers on tax <strong>in</strong>centives <strong>in</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g countries,<br />

written a quarter century apart. They show that <strong>the</strong> use <strong>of</strong> tax <strong>in</strong>centives to stimulate<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestment has long been very popular <strong>and</strong> very controversial. The passages, however, differ<br />

<strong>in</strong> one important respect. The first paper found no evidence that tax <strong>in</strong>centives actually<br />

stimulate <strong>in</strong>vestment, whereas <strong>the</strong> second questions <strong>the</strong> cost-effectiveness <strong>of</strong> such <strong>in</strong>centives.<br />

This difference reflects <strong>the</strong> fact that research conducted dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>terven<strong>in</strong>g 25 years has<br />

demonstrated that tax <strong>in</strong>centives can <strong>in</strong>deed stimulate <strong>in</strong>vestment under some circumstances.<br />

Yet <strong>the</strong> balance between benefits <strong>and</strong> costs rema<strong>in</strong>s very much a matter for debate.<br />

This debate echoes throughout <strong>the</strong> <strong>SADC</strong> region. Even among well-<strong>in</strong>formed <strong>of</strong>ficials,<br />

op<strong>in</strong>ions cover <strong>the</strong> spectrum from outright opposition to strong support. Some believe that<br />

tax <strong>in</strong>centives rarely matter <strong>in</strong> attract<strong>in</strong>g viable long-term <strong>in</strong>vestments, <strong>and</strong> that <strong>the</strong> associated<br />

distortions <strong>and</strong> abuses swamp whatever positive response may occur. O<strong>the</strong>rs contend with<br />

equal conviction that tax <strong>in</strong>centives can work <strong>and</strong> are essential <strong>in</strong> attract<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>vestment,<br />

promot<strong>in</strong>g growth, <strong>and</strong> creat<strong>in</strong>g jobs.<br />

In fact, every <strong>SADC</strong> country <strong>of</strong>fers tax <strong>in</strong>centives. Indeed, many governments <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> region<br />

face pressure to sweeten <strong>the</strong>ir <strong>in</strong>centive programs to compete with tax breaks <strong>of</strong>fered<br />

elsewhere <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> region <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r parts <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> world. Yet <strong>the</strong>y are also under great pressure<br />

to streng<strong>the</strong>n <strong>the</strong> domestic revenue systems <strong>in</strong> order to provide adequate <strong>and</strong> susta<strong>in</strong>able<br />

fund<strong>in</strong>g for essential public goods <strong>and</strong> services. In response to <strong>the</strong>se <strong>in</strong>fluences, some <strong>SADC</strong><br />

governments have recently <strong>in</strong>troduced new tax <strong>in</strong>centives while o<strong>the</strong>rs have scaled back <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

<strong>in</strong>centive programs. For example, South Africa <strong>and</strong> Lesotho elim<strong>in</strong>ated tax holidays while<br />

Zambia recently <strong>in</strong>troduced new tax exemptions for companies designated as export<br />

process<strong>in</strong>g zones. In short, <strong>the</strong> appropriate use <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>centive policies rema<strong>in</strong>s elusive.

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