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3-16 EFFECTIVENESS AND IMPACT OF TAX INCENTIVES IN THE <strong>SADC</strong> REGION<br />

elsewhere <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> economy. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, most tax <strong>in</strong>centives draw resources toward capital-<br />

<strong>in</strong>tensive <strong>in</strong>vestments, which have a high (<strong>of</strong>ten very high) cost per job created. Alternative<br />

policy tools that avoid this bias can create far more jobs at less cost.<br />

<strong>Tax</strong> <strong>in</strong>centives rarely make a substantial contribution to solv<strong>in</strong>g a country’s employment<br />

problem. In Malawi, for example, <strong>the</strong> labor force <strong>of</strong> 5 million is exp<strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>g by 2 percent per<br />

year. Just to break even <strong>the</strong> economy has to provide opportunities for 100,000 additional<br />

workers per year. In Tanzania, <strong>the</strong> labor force <strong>of</strong> 18 million is exp<strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>g at about <strong>the</strong> same<br />

rate, br<strong>in</strong>g<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> 360,000 new workers per year. 40 Job creation on this scale requires policies<br />

<strong>and</strong> programs that have a much broader impact. Most tax <strong>in</strong>centive programs hardly make a<br />

dent <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> problem.<br />

7. Lack <strong>of</strong> Transparency. The fiscal cost <strong>of</strong> a tax break is much less visible than <strong>the</strong> cost <strong>of</strong><br />

alternative <strong>in</strong>vestment promotion policies that <strong>in</strong>volve actual budget outlays. In addition, <strong>the</strong><br />

actual economic costs associated with tax <strong>in</strong>centives are <strong>in</strong>direct <strong>and</strong> difficult to monitor.<br />

These features may be convenient for short-term political purposes, but <strong>the</strong>y are undesirable<br />

features <strong>of</strong> public policy <strong>in</strong> an era where good governance, accountability, <strong>and</strong> fiscal<br />

transparency are <strong>in</strong> dem<strong>and</strong>. When costs are hidden, it is easy for governments to pursue<br />

measures that are not cost-effective, <strong>and</strong> not consistent with <strong>the</strong> stated development goals.<br />

8. Political Dynamics. <strong>Tax</strong> <strong>in</strong>centives are a form <strong>of</strong> subsidy. They have a direct cash value to<br />

recipients, <strong>of</strong>ten <strong>in</strong>volv<strong>in</strong>g large amounts <strong>of</strong> money. Consequently, companies <strong>and</strong> bus<strong>in</strong>ess<br />

groups have strong motivation to lobby for tax <strong>in</strong>centives <strong>and</strong> to exaggerate <strong>the</strong> prospective<br />

economic benefits. If <strong>in</strong>centives are provided to selected <strong>in</strong>dustries or regions, bus<strong>in</strong>esses <strong>and</strong><br />

politicians represent<strong>in</strong>g o<strong>the</strong>r <strong>in</strong>dustries <strong>and</strong> regions use <strong>the</strong>se precedents as arguments for<br />

pressur<strong>in</strong>g government to broaden <strong>the</strong> programs <strong>and</strong> to <strong>in</strong>terpret <strong>the</strong> eligibility rules liberally.<br />

This pressure <strong>of</strong>ten leads to a proliferation <strong>of</strong> tax breaks, which riddle <strong>the</strong> tax net with holes,<br />

multiply <strong>the</strong> fiscal <strong>and</strong> economic costs, <strong>and</strong> underm<strong>in</strong>e <strong>the</strong> coherence <strong>of</strong> tax policy. 41 And<br />

once bus<strong>in</strong>esses beg<strong>in</strong> to benefit from special <strong>in</strong>centives, pressure to perpetuate <strong>the</strong> programs<br />

becomes <strong>in</strong>evitable. 42 The cash value <strong>of</strong> tax <strong>in</strong>centives is also an open <strong>in</strong>ducement to bribery<br />

<strong>and</strong> corruption. These abuses are particularly likely where approvals are discretionary,<br />

criteria are vague, agreements are confidential, <strong>and</strong> mechanisms are lack<strong>in</strong>g to track <strong>and</strong><br />

control <strong>the</strong> direct <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>direct fiscal costs. The lobby<strong>in</strong>g activities <strong>the</strong>mselves represent a loss<br />

<strong>of</strong> economic efficiency, as companies devote resources to seek<strong>in</strong>g pr<strong>of</strong>it through political<br />

<strong>in</strong>fluence ra<strong>the</strong>r than through higher productivity <strong>and</strong> product quality.<br />

9. There Are O<strong>the</strong>r Instruments. Us<strong>in</strong>g tax <strong>in</strong>centives to compensate for deficiencies <strong>in</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

aspects <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestment climate is attractive on <strong>the</strong> surface. But one <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>in</strong> conclusions<br />

40 World Bank, World Development Indicators onl<strong>in</strong>e.<br />

41 Gillis (1989) documents an extreme case <strong>of</strong> tax-<strong>in</strong>centive proliferation <strong>in</strong> Indonesia prior to <strong>the</strong> 1984 tax<br />

reforms.<br />

42 Porter (1998, 665) refers to <strong>the</strong> idea <strong>of</strong> “temporary” subsidies or protection is an oxymoron, because “it<br />

becomes an addictive drug” that creates a strong political dynamic to preserve <strong>the</strong> benefits.

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