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Effectiveness and Economic Impact of Tax Incentives in the SADC ...

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5-2 EFFECTIVENESS AND IMPACT OF TAX INCENTIVES IN THE <strong>SADC</strong> REGION<br />

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<strong>Effectiveness</strong> <strong>in</strong> stimulat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>vestment. The basic <strong>in</strong>dicator <strong>of</strong> effectiveness is <strong>the</strong> extent to<br />

which each tax tool improves <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong>centives by reduc<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> marg<strong>in</strong>al effective tax<br />

rate (METR). This gives a rough approximation but not a pat rank<strong>in</strong>g, s<strong>in</strong>ce METR<br />

differentials vary depend<strong>in</strong>g on <strong>the</strong> type <strong>of</strong> project <strong>and</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r characteristics <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> tax<br />

system. <strong>Effectiveness</strong> also depends heavily on whe<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>centives accrue to marg<strong>in</strong>al<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestments or to projects that would be undertaken anyway. When tax benefits are<br />

redundant, <strong>the</strong> beneficiary <strong>in</strong>vestments cannot properly be viewed as aris<strong>in</strong>g from <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong>centive program.<br />

Revenue foregone. To gauge <strong>the</strong> generosity <strong>of</strong> each <strong>in</strong>strument, one can calculate <strong>the</strong><br />

revenue foregone per beneficiary. But a larger consideration is <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> beneficiaries:<br />

does <strong>the</strong> benefit accrue to every filer, to new <strong>in</strong>vestments only, or to a selective subset <strong>of</strong><br />

new <strong>in</strong>vestments? The smaller <strong>the</strong> set <strong>of</strong> beneficiaries, <strong>the</strong> lower <strong>the</strong> tax loss, o<strong>the</strong>r th<strong>in</strong>gs<br />

be<strong>in</strong>g equal. A second major factor is whe<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>centive is carefully targeted to<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestments that would o<strong>the</strong>rwise be lost to <strong>the</strong> economy. If so, <strong>the</strong>n <strong>the</strong> effective revenue<br />

loss is zero. If <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>centives are redundant, however, <strong>the</strong>n <strong>the</strong> tax break is a straight loss to<br />

<strong>the</strong> treasury. (See Exhibit 4-3.)<br />

<strong>Economic</strong> efficiency. Various tax <strong>in</strong>struments <strong>in</strong>troduce different k<strong>in</strong>ds <strong>of</strong> economic<br />

distortions, which bias <strong>in</strong>vestment decisions <strong>and</strong> reduce efficiency.<br />

<strong>Tax</strong> adm<strong>in</strong>istration. <strong>Tax</strong> <strong>in</strong>centives also differ <strong>in</strong> terms <strong>of</strong> adm<strong>in</strong>istrative simplicity, <strong>the</strong> ease<br />

<strong>of</strong> estimat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> foregone revenue (tax expenditures), <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> scope for abuse. The latter<br />

should be a central consideration for <strong>the</strong> design <strong>of</strong> any tax <strong>in</strong>centive program.<br />

Zee, et al. (2001) suggest comb<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong>se factors <strong>in</strong>to an overall measure <strong>of</strong> cost-effectiveness<br />

for each tool. This is a useful way to conceptualize <strong>the</strong> policy analysis, but <strong>in</strong> practice many<br />

relevant factors are difficult to quantify consistently. Beyond <strong>the</strong>se four broad criteria, several<br />

o<strong>the</strong>r general considerations perta<strong>in</strong> to <strong>the</strong> design <strong>of</strong> a tax <strong>in</strong>centive program:<br />

<strong>Incentives</strong> that create large tax differentials between favored <strong>and</strong> non-favored activities<br />

provide <strong>the</strong> greatest opportunity <strong>and</strong> strongest <strong>in</strong>centive for abuse <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>centive as a tax<br />

shelter.<br />

The effectiveness <strong>and</strong> impact <strong>of</strong> an <strong>in</strong>centive depends on characteristics <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestor. In<br />

<strong>the</strong> case <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestments com<strong>in</strong>g from countries that impose residence-based tax on<br />

worldwide <strong>in</strong>come, host-country tax <strong>in</strong>centives may be neutralized by tax obligations <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

home country (see chapter 3). Ano<strong>the</strong>r important consideration is whe<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestor has<br />

ongo<strong>in</strong>g operations generat<strong>in</strong>g tax obligations that can be <strong>of</strong>fset by tax losses that arise <strong>in</strong><br />

early years <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> new project.<br />

The value <strong>of</strong> a tax <strong>in</strong>centive to <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestor depends on technical features <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> tax code<br />

such as loss carry-forward provisions, r<strong>in</strong>g-fenc<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> tax losses <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>centive-eligible<br />

activities, <strong>the</strong> taxation <strong>of</strong> capital ga<strong>in</strong>s, whe<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong> basis for capital allowances <strong>and</strong> capital

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