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Effectiveness and Economic Impact of Tax Incentives in the SADC ...

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TAXATION, INVESTMENT, AND GROWTH 2-7<br />

• Any change <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> relative price <strong>of</strong> capital goods, due to chang<strong>in</strong>g market conditions. This<br />

enters <strong>the</strong> picture because ga<strong>in</strong>s <strong>and</strong> losses on hold<strong>in</strong>g physical assets clearly affect <strong>the</strong><br />

returns.<br />

<strong>Tax</strong>ation enters <strong>the</strong> UCC through three channels:<br />

Company tax rate (u). From <strong>the</strong> po<strong>in</strong>t <strong>of</strong> view <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestor, <strong>the</strong> effective return on<br />

capital is dim<strong>in</strong>ished to <strong>the</strong> extent <strong>of</strong> tax due on company <strong>in</strong>come.<br />

<strong>Tax</strong> <strong>in</strong>centives. The cost <strong>of</strong> pay<strong>in</strong>g company tax is <strong>of</strong>fset by any benefit which may accrue to<br />

<strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestor from tax <strong>in</strong>centives such as tax holidays, preferential tax rates, <strong>in</strong>vestment credits,<br />

or capital allowances <strong>in</strong> excess <strong>of</strong> economic depreciation. These benefits arise at different<br />

po<strong>in</strong>ts <strong>in</strong> time <strong>and</strong> vary year to year. To h<strong>and</strong>le this complexity, <strong>the</strong> st<strong>and</strong>ard approach is to<br />

take <strong>the</strong> present discounted value <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> tax benefits, per unit <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestment outlay.<br />

<strong>Tax</strong> treatment <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> cost <strong>of</strong> funds. Investment can be f<strong>in</strong>anced by equity or debt. 16 Hence,<br />

<strong>the</strong> overall cost <strong>of</strong> funds depends on both <strong>the</strong> real <strong>in</strong>terest rate on debt f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> risk-<br />

adjusted real rate <strong>of</strong> return required by shareholders who provide equity f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g. The real<br />

cost <strong>of</strong> debt f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g (rd) is <strong>the</strong> nom<strong>in</strong>al <strong>in</strong>terest rate (i) less <strong>the</strong> rate <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>flation (π). S<strong>in</strong>ce<br />

nom<strong>in</strong>al <strong>in</strong>terest payments are deductible <strong>in</strong> most tax systems, <strong>the</strong> after-tax real cost <strong>of</strong> debt<br />

f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g for <strong>the</strong> firm is rd = (1 – u ) i – π. Now let re represent <strong>the</strong> risk-adjusted real rate <strong>of</strong><br />

return required by shareholders. If <strong>the</strong> company <strong>and</strong> personal tax codes are <strong>in</strong>tegrated to<br />

avoid double taxation <strong>of</strong> dividends, as <strong>in</strong> Botswana, <strong>the</strong>n re is <strong>the</strong> effective cost <strong>of</strong> equity<br />

f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g fac<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> firm. However, if a separate tax is imposed on dividends at <strong>the</strong> rate td,<br />

<strong>the</strong>n shareholders require a higher tax-<strong>in</strong>clusive return on equity, namely (1+ td) re. The overall<br />

cost <strong>of</strong> funds is <strong>the</strong>n a weighted average <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se two elements.<br />

In this framework, <strong>in</strong>vestment takes place as long as <strong>the</strong> gross return on additional<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestment exceeds <strong>the</strong> tax-adjusted user cost <strong>of</strong> capital. In effect, <strong>the</strong> hurdle value <strong>of</strong> VMPK<br />

rises with <strong>the</strong> company tax rate <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> tax on dividends, <strong>and</strong> falls with <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> tax<br />

<strong>in</strong>centive package.<br />

A higher user cost <strong>of</strong> capital reduces <strong>the</strong> set <strong>of</strong> viable <strong>in</strong>vestment projects. It also provides an<br />

<strong>in</strong>centive for companies to pursue more labor-<strong>in</strong>tensive projects. Conversely, a lower UCC<br />

exp<strong>and</strong>s <strong>the</strong> set <strong>of</strong> viable <strong>in</strong>vestment projects, <strong>and</strong> favors capital-<strong>in</strong>tensive projects. Note that<br />

<strong>the</strong> net impact <strong>of</strong> tax breaks on job creation is ambiguous, s<strong>in</strong>ce <strong>the</strong> changes <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>and</strong><br />

labor <strong>in</strong>tensity work <strong>in</strong> opposite directions.<br />

The <strong>the</strong>oretical effect <strong>of</strong> taxation on <strong>in</strong>vestment is mediated by three o<strong>the</strong>r considerations.<br />

First, <strong>the</strong> gestation period for many <strong>in</strong>vestments may span several years, particularly for large<br />

projects. So <strong>the</strong>re can be substantial lags before tax policies to stimulate <strong>in</strong>vestment have an<br />

16 A third major source <strong>of</strong> f<strong>in</strong>ance, reta<strong>in</strong>ed earn<strong>in</strong>gs, is omitted at this po<strong>in</strong>t for simplicity.

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