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Effectiveness and Economic Impact of Tax Incentives in the SADC ...

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4-4 EFFECTIVENESS AND IMPACT OF TAX INCENTIVES IN THE <strong>SADC</strong> REGION<br />

The reason empirical studies <strong>of</strong>ten measure <strong>the</strong> METR by estimat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> UCC is that <strong>the</strong> data<br />

requirements are less formidable for this approach than for <strong>the</strong> alternative <strong>of</strong> comput<strong>in</strong>g rates<br />

<strong>of</strong> return directly. Even so, estimation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> UCC is no simple exercise. It requires, for a<br />

“typical” <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong> each sector or category, obta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g data or estimates <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> respective<br />

cost <strong>of</strong> borrow<strong>in</strong>g, <strong>the</strong> required return on equity, <strong>the</strong> capital composition, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g<br />

structure, as well as estimates <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> difference between economic <strong>and</strong> tax depreciation<br />

rates. 48<br />

Policy studies (as dist<strong>in</strong>ct from empirical research) typically simplify <strong>the</strong> data problems by<br />

construct<strong>in</strong>g representative examples <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestment projects, ra<strong>the</strong>r than delv<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>to<br />

microeconomic data sets. With this approach one can isolate <strong>the</strong> impact <strong>of</strong> various tax<br />

provisions by hold<strong>in</strong>g constant o<strong>the</strong>r factors that affect <strong>the</strong> METR. Us<strong>in</strong>g this approach, it is<br />

easy to calculate <strong>the</strong> METR because <strong>the</strong> examples are constructed to provide <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>formation<br />

needed to compute rates <strong>of</strong> return before <strong>and</strong> after taxes. This is a very useful method for<br />

analyz<strong>in</strong>g tax policies <strong>and</strong> compar<strong>in</strong>g tax systems across countries.<br />

Exhibit 4-1 gives an example us<strong>in</strong>g a representative project to compare how <strong>the</strong> METR varies<br />

under different tax <strong>in</strong>struments. Start<strong>in</strong>g with a statutory marg<strong>in</strong>al tax rate <strong>of</strong> 35 percent, <strong>the</strong><br />

example shows that <strong>the</strong> METR can vary from 11.1 percent to 45.6 percent depend<strong>in</strong>g on what<br />

tax <strong>in</strong>centives are <strong>in</strong> place. Of <strong>the</strong> options that were exam<strong>in</strong>ed, <strong>the</strong> 20 percent <strong>in</strong>vestment<br />

credit has by far <strong>the</strong> largest effect, reduc<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> METR to less than one-third <strong>the</strong> statutory rate.<br />

<strong>Tax</strong> holidays have far less effect on <strong>the</strong> METR.<br />

Table 4-1 presents an <strong>in</strong>ternational comparison <strong>of</strong> METRs us<strong>in</strong>g tax parameters for 1985. This<br />

analysis dramatically illustrates <strong>the</strong> difference between statutory <strong>and</strong> effective tax rates, as<br />

well as <strong>the</strong> large METR differences between debt <strong>and</strong> equity f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g. For an <strong>in</strong>vestment<br />

f<strong>in</strong>anced entirely with equity (assum<strong>in</strong>g 5 percent <strong>in</strong>flation), Portugal had a statutory rate <strong>of</strong><br />

40 percent <strong>and</strong> an METR <strong>of</strong> 45.5 percent. Guatemala had a higher statutory rate <strong>of</strong> 42 percent,<br />

but <strong>the</strong> METR was just 10.7 percent. With 50 percent debt f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> METR <strong>in</strong> Guatemala<br />

drops to 2.1 percent, compared to 28.7 percent <strong>in</strong> Portugal. 49<br />

48 Data <strong>of</strong> this sort for all <strong>SADC</strong> countries were not available for <strong>the</strong> present study.<br />

49 Inflation also has a big effect on <strong>the</strong> METRs (not shown <strong>in</strong> table). High <strong>in</strong>flation reduces <strong>the</strong> METR through<br />

<strong>the</strong> deductibility <strong>of</strong> nom<strong>in</strong>al <strong>in</strong>terest rates, but <strong>in</strong>creases it through use <strong>of</strong> historical cost for depreciation, first<strong>in</strong>-first-out<br />

<strong>in</strong>ventory valuations, <strong>and</strong> lack <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>dex<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> capital ga<strong>in</strong>s.

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