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Effectiveness and Economic Impact of Tax Incentives in the SADC ...

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3. <strong>Economic</strong>s <strong>of</strong> <strong>Tax</strong> <strong>Incentives</strong>: Pros<br />

<strong>and</strong> Cons<br />

Chapter 2 tested <strong>the</strong> dual premise that tax <strong>in</strong>centives stimulate <strong>in</strong>vestment, <strong>and</strong> that higher<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestment leads to more rapid growth <strong>and</strong> development. On both po<strong>in</strong>ts, <strong>the</strong> conclusion is:<br />

sometimes so, but it depends on <strong>the</strong> circumstances. <strong>Tax</strong> <strong>in</strong>centives can stimulate <strong>in</strong>vestment,<br />

particularly for projects that could be viable <strong>in</strong> several alternative locations where non-tax<br />

conditions are reasonably similar. But non-tax factors determ<strong>in</strong>e <strong>the</strong> viability <strong>of</strong> most projects<br />

<strong>and</strong> dom<strong>in</strong>ate most <strong>in</strong>vestment decisions. <strong>Tax</strong> considerations are not decisive for most<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestments. And if tax breaks cause fiscal problems that worsen o<strong>the</strong>r elements <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong>vestment climate, <strong>the</strong>n <strong>the</strong> net effect on <strong>in</strong>vestment may even be negative. On <strong>the</strong> second<br />

premise, capital <strong>in</strong>vestment is <strong>in</strong>deed a major source <strong>of</strong> growth. But <strong>the</strong> productivity <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong>vestment is at least as important. Incentive policies that encourage <strong>in</strong>vestments with low<br />

productivity can backfire <strong>and</strong> have an adverse impact on growth. In this chapter we address<br />

not only <strong>the</strong> effectiveness <strong>of</strong> tax <strong>in</strong>centives but also <strong>the</strong>ir broader economic impact, <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

course <strong>of</strong> summariz<strong>in</strong>g arguments both for <strong>and</strong> aga<strong>in</strong>st <strong>in</strong>centives.<br />

3.1 Ten Arguments <strong>in</strong> Favor <strong>of</strong> Investment <strong>Tax</strong> <strong>Incentives</strong><br />

The follow<strong>in</strong>g propositions are reasonably familiar <strong>and</strong> well understood by most stakeholders<br />

<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> policy debates. Hence, <strong>the</strong>y do not require elaborate explanation.<br />

1. Higher Pr<strong>of</strong>its. Measures that reduce <strong>the</strong> tax imposed on <strong>in</strong>come from capital leave<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestors with a higher net rate <strong>of</strong> return. This translates directly <strong>in</strong>to greater <strong>in</strong>centives for<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestment, <strong>and</strong> (hopefully) more <strong>in</strong>vestment.<br />

2. Positive Externalities. Modern growth <strong>the</strong>ory highlights <strong>the</strong> importance <strong>of</strong> positive<br />

spillover effects from <strong>the</strong> accumulation <strong>of</strong> knowledge <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>novation. The benefits are <strong>of</strong>ten<br />

embodied <strong>in</strong> new capital <strong>in</strong>vestment, <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong> research <strong>and</strong> development, <strong>and</strong> tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />

associated with new <strong>in</strong>vestment, especially for export projects or <strong>in</strong>vestments that help to<br />

develop networks or clusters as centers <strong>of</strong> excellence. If spillover effects are significant, <strong>the</strong>n

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