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Effectiveness and Economic Impact of Tax Incentives in the SADC ...

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3-18 EFFECTIVENESS AND IMPACT OF TAX INCENTIVES IN THE <strong>SADC</strong> REGION<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r cases show that special tax <strong>in</strong>centives are not necessary for attract<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>vestment.<br />

Exhibits 3-5 <strong>and</strong> 3-6 summarize experience <strong>in</strong> Ug<strong>and</strong>a <strong>and</strong> Indonesia, where tax holidays <strong>and</strong><br />

selective tax <strong>in</strong>centive programs were term<strong>in</strong>ated <strong>in</strong> favor <strong>of</strong> a more attractive general tax<br />

regime, with no evident adverse effect on <strong>in</strong>vestment flows. Chile also has had outst<strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />

success <strong>in</strong> attract<strong>in</strong>g both foreign <strong>and</strong> domestic <strong>in</strong>vestment without <strong>of</strong>fer<strong>in</strong>g special tax<br />

<strong>in</strong>centives or tax holidays. 44<br />

3.3 Summary<br />

There are legitimate reasons to favor <strong>the</strong> use <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestment tax <strong>in</strong>centives, but also strong<br />

reasons to believe that <strong>the</strong> fiscal <strong>and</strong> economic costs may be very high relative to <strong>the</strong> benefits.<br />

In some prom<strong>in</strong>ent cases, <strong>in</strong>centive programs have met with outst<strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>g success. In many<br />

o<strong>the</strong>r countries, however, <strong>the</strong>y failed to stimulate much <strong>in</strong>vestment. And <strong>in</strong> a few <strong>in</strong>terest<strong>in</strong>g<br />

cases, <strong>the</strong>y have been elim<strong>in</strong>ated without harm<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>vestment flows. Results vary accord<strong>in</strong>g<br />

to <strong>the</strong> circumstances. If anyth<strong>in</strong>g, <strong>the</strong> norm is for tax <strong>in</strong>centives to fail <strong>the</strong> benefit/cost test.<br />

Why, <strong>the</strong>n, are tax <strong>in</strong>centives so widely used <strong>in</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g countries? One answer is that<br />

<strong>in</strong>centives are <strong>of</strong>ten driven by special <strong>in</strong>terest groups that benefit from tax breaks. But this<br />

cannot expla<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> s<strong>in</strong>cere belief <strong>in</strong> many quarters that tax <strong>in</strong>centives are an essential <strong>and</strong><br />

constructive component <strong>of</strong> development policy. A more important part <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> answer is that<br />

<strong>the</strong> potential benefits are very easy to underst<strong>and</strong>, whereas <strong>the</strong> fiscal <strong>and</strong> economic costs are<br />

not. Policy decisions on tax <strong>in</strong>centive are <strong>of</strong>ten based on an analysis that exaggerates <strong>the</strong> likely<br />

benefits <strong>and</strong> seriously underestimates <strong>the</strong> probable costs (<strong>in</strong> addition to pressure from parties<br />

who st<strong>and</strong> to benefit from <strong>the</strong> measures).<br />

Thus, efforts to streng<strong>the</strong>n <strong>in</strong>stitutional capacity for economic analysis <strong>of</strong> tax <strong>in</strong>centive<br />

programs should be a first-order priority for all <strong>SADC</strong> Member States—<strong>in</strong>dividually <strong>and</strong><br />

jo<strong>in</strong>tly. Better analysis will lead to better policies <strong>and</strong> greater cooperation <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> design <strong>of</strong> tax<br />

<strong>in</strong>centive programs. Meanwhile, skepticism ought to be <strong>the</strong> start<strong>in</strong>g po<strong>in</strong>t for consider<strong>in</strong>g any<br />

tax <strong>in</strong>centive proposals. Unless a compell<strong>in</strong>g case can be made, based on a careful economic<br />

<strong>and</strong> f<strong>in</strong>ancial analysis, policymakers should guard aga<strong>in</strong>st <strong>the</strong> temptation <strong>of</strong> adopt<strong>in</strong>g<br />

generous tax <strong>in</strong>centive programs that have little effect on <strong>in</strong>vestment or job creation, while<br />

adversely affect<strong>in</strong>g revenue, tax adm<strong>in</strong>istration, productivity, <strong>and</strong> equity.<br />

44 The website for Chile’s Foreign Investment Committee provides a list <strong>of</strong> “Reasons to Invest <strong>in</strong> Chile.” The<br />

list <strong>in</strong>cludes, <strong>in</strong>ter alia, strong macroeconomic fundamentals, an outward-look<strong>in</strong>g open economy; high quality<br />

human capital; <strong>and</strong> modern <strong>in</strong>frastructure. <strong>Tax</strong> policy is not mentioned. Source:<br />

.

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