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Participation and Democracy: Dynamics, Causes ... - Jacobs University

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Summarizing the results so far, elite-challenging activities as forms of community<br />

involvement depend both on networks <strong>and</strong> trust, in short: they are an outcome of social<br />

capital. Social capital was examined in its effect on collective activities on two levels: as<br />

an individual characteristic (embeddedness in a network <strong>and</strong> social trust) <strong>and</strong> a societal<br />

condition (organizing capacity of a society) for participation. However, as the two-level<br />

characteristics have not been included in one <strong>and</strong> the same analysis, it is not possible to<br />

determine whether social capital has the greater impact on participating in elitechallenging<br />

activities as an individual or as a societal characteristic. This will be done<br />

now in a final step: social capital variables on the individual <strong>and</strong> on the societal level will<br />

be incorporated into one multilevel model explaining people’s participation in elitechallenging<br />

activities.<br />

As underst<strong>and</strong>ing the logic of multilevel models is necessary to follow the interpretation<br />

of the results, this final empirical test is presented in more detail. A multilevel analysis<br />

allows singling out independent effects of the variables on each level on a dependent<br />

variable (measured on the lowest possible level), but also interaction effects between<br />

level-1 (individual level) <strong>and</strong> level-2 (societal level) factors that might explain why<br />

people participate. As the dependent variable, participation in elite-challenging activities,<br />

is measured as a dichotomous variable, a hierarchical nonlinear regression model must be<br />

applied. A nonlinear model (also: generalized linear model) is in many ways similar to a<br />

linear model, except that the level-1 model follows a logistic function instead of a linear<br />

one. In general, a multilevel model follows a three-step logic. In the first model, only<br />

individual-level predictors are included; the second model introduces the direct effects of<br />

societal-factors; the third model is the full model that finally incorporates the interaction<br />

effects.<br />

As a first step, a baseline model is calculated, taking into account individual-level<br />

variables only (Model 1). For the social capital model explaining elite-challenging<br />

activities, these are (1) membership in voluntary associations, (2) embeddedness in<br />

informal networks, <strong>and</strong> (3) social trust. It is assumed that group differences can be<br />

observed, meaning that the individual-level variables have different effects across<br />

societies. The first model looks like this:<br />

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