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Participation and Democracy: Dynamics, Causes ... - Jacobs University

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Table 9-1:<br />

Zero-Order <strong>and</strong> Partial Correlation: Elite-Challenging Activities <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>Democracy</strong><br />

Level of participation in elitechallenging<br />

activities (earliest available<br />

survey, WVS II-III, 1990-1997)<br />

1 controlled for Freedom House 1982-87<br />

2 controlled for Control of Corruption 1996-98<br />

Zero-Order<br />

Correlation<br />

Freedom House<br />

2001-2006<br />

Partial<br />

Correlation 1<br />

Control of Corruption<br />

Zero-Order<br />

Correlation<br />

2002-2006<br />

Partial<br />

Correlation 2<br />

.50*** .34*** .70*** .34**<br />

N = 59 N = 59<br />

Table 9-1 contrasts the (zero-order) correlation effects with the partial correlation effects.<br />

Zero-order effects mean that the level of participation precedes the measures from<br />

Freedom House <strong>and</strong> the World Bank. The partial correlation does not only account for<br />

the temporal order of the two variables, but also controls for previous stages of<br />

democracy or absence of corruption.<br />

As one would expect when assuming the relation between participation <strong>and</strong> democracy to<br />

be circular, the impact of elite-challenging activities on democracy decreases once one<br />

accounts for the temporal autocorrelation of the democracy <strong>and</strong> corruption measure. The<br />

correlation drops because elite-challenging actions are themselves partially depending on<br />

prior measures of democracy <strong>and</strong> corruption <strong>and</strong> when one takes this partial dependence<br />

into account, the remaining independent part of elite-challenging actions shows a<br />

considerably weaker effect on subsequent democracy <strong>and</strong> corruption. However, the effect<br />

remains fully significant <strong>and</strong> continues to show a considerable magnitude. In part elitechallenging<br />

actions depend on prior democracy to be high <strong>and</strong> prior corruption to be low<br />

but to a larger part they help making subsequent democracy high <strong>and</strong> subsequent<br />

corruption low. Elite-challenging activities do exactly what the name says: they challenge<br />

elites, dem<strong>and</strong> responsible <strong>and</strong> transparent elite-behavior, <strong>and</strong> limit the abuse of entrusted<br />

power.<br />

177

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