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Public Management and Administration - Owen E.hughes

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174 <strong>Public</strong> <strong>Management</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Administration</strong><br />

successful reform. In Australia, for example, Forward Estimates have been prepared<br />

since 1972, but since 1983, their format has been greatly improved <strong>and</strong><br />

published in time to assist the following year’s budgetary process. Forward<br />

Estimates provide the government <strong>and</strong> the public with information on the level<br />

<strong>and</strong> composition of spending over the next three years <strong>and</strong> with quite comprehensive<br />

forecasts of spending <strong>and</strong> revenue beyond that. Rather than comprising<br />

‘wish lists’ from departments, they now represent an assessment of government<br />

spending, both overall <strong>and</strong> on particular programmes, that will occur in the<br />

absence of policy changes. This enables the long-term costs of programmes to<br />

be better estimated.<br />

Accounting reforms<br />

Traditional budgeting is based on cash, that is, revenue received <strong>and</strong> outlays<br />

paid out <strong>and</strong> in the one year. Accrual accounting is more sophisticated as it<br />

includes the value of assets in a more comprehensive way. Its major objective<br />

is to compare the total of economic costs incurred during a reporting period<br />

against the total economic benefit accrued in that period. In other words, the<br />

value of assets is included as well as their depreciation, so that a complete picture<br />

of the government’s financial position is known in a way similar to that<br />

of the private sector. This system has the advantage of the full position being<br />

known <strong>and</strong> to provide a more meaningful comparison of financial inputs to<br />

policy outcomes.<br />

Accrual accounting was implemented as early as 1991 in New Zeal<strong>and</strong>, but<br />

it was only during the late 1990s that other jurisdictions tried it. In Australia the<br />

federal government started in 1999–2000 as did the state governments at<br />

around the same time (Carlin <strong>and</strong> Guthrie, 2001). Such accounting reforms are<br />

‘an important part of the process of transforming spenders into managers’;<br />

a manager needs to be accountable for costs (OECD, 1997, p. 25). An OECD<br />

paper argues there are conditions for it to work (1997, p. 25):<br />

Two conditions must prevail for accrual accounting to be more than a bookkeeping exercise:<br />

managers must have genuine choice in deciding whether to bear the costs; <strong>and</strong> the<br />

costs they are charged must have an impact on the financial resources available to them …<br />

The second condition is that costs affect the resources available to the agency. If an agency<br />

were charged for depreciation, this cost should reduce the resources otherwise available<br />

for operations.<br />

Accrual accounting requires that the full costs be charged to operating units,<br />

including accommodation <strong>and</strong> assets used, in other words, the full economic<br />

cost of operating that unit.<br />

In principle, accrual accounting would by itself drive substantial reform.<br />

However, accrual accounting, or what Carlin <strong>and</strong> Guthrie term ‘accrual outputbased<br />

budgeting’ (AOBB) is difficult to bring about <strong>and</strong>, if implemented badly,

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