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Draft EIS/EIR for the San Luis Reservoir SRA Resource ...

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5. Environmental Analysis<br />

Table 5-1<br />

Future Criteria Pollutant Emissions from Plan Area Visitation (2040)<br />

Type CO VOC NO x PM 10 PM 2.5 SO 2<br />

Vehicle Emission Factors<br />

(lb/mi)<br />

Vehicle Emissions<br />

(tons/yr)<br />

Boat Emission Factors<br />

(ton/boat)<br />

Evap Boat Factors<br />

(tons/boat)<br />

0.0135 0.0013 0.0012 8.42252E-05 5.23E-05 9.00E-06<br />

12.744 1.248 1.158 0.079 0.049 0.008<br />

0.00037 1.97E-04 1.80E-05 2.59E-05 2.59E-05 4.48E-08<br />

2.71E-05<br />

Boat Emissions (tons/day) 0.01922 0.01171 0.00094 0.00135 0.00135 0.00000<br />

Boat Emissions<br />

(tons/year)<br />

Total Emissions<br />

(tons/year)<br />

7.02 4.28 0.34 0.49 0.49 0.00<br />

19.764 5.524 1.500 0.574 0.544 0.009<br />

SJVAPCD Thresholds<br />

(tons/year) NA 10 10 15 15 NA<br />

GCR De Minimis Levels<br />

(tons/yr) Attainment 10 10 100 100 Attainment<br />

As shown in Table 5-1, future total emissions from <strong>the</strong> Plan Area would remain<br />

well below <strong>the</strong> SJVAPCD thresholds (where thresholds exist) and GCR de<br />

minimis levels. No exceedances would occur if Plan Area motor vehicle and<br />

vessel use doubled. Motor vehicle and vessel use would have to quadruple be<strong>for</strong>e<br />

a single threshold (<strong>for</strong> VOC) would be exceeded; all o<strong>the</strong>r criteria emissions<br />

would remain below SJVAPCD thresholds and GCR de minimis levels. Although<br />

automotive and boat traffic would likely vary among <strong>the</strong> four alternatives, a<br />

quadrupling in future motor vehicle and vessel use in <strong>the</strong> Plan Area is unlikely to<br />

occur. None of <strong>the</strong> alternatives would result in levels of park visitation high<br />

enough to create heavy and sustained traffic patterns that would produce major air<br />

quality issues. The indirect effects of increasing vehicle traffic in <strong>the</strong> region from<br />

Plan implementation would result in only a minor increase in total vehicular<br />

emissions in <strong>the</strong> area.<br />

In addition, new regulations are expected to reduce air emissions as motorized<br />

vehicle and vessel manufacturers improve <strong>the</strong>ir technology to meet emission<br />

standards. As described in Section 2.5, all marine outboard and personal<br />

watercraft engines manufactured in 2008 or later are required to comply with<br />

Cali<strong>for</strong>nia Air <strong>Resource</strong>s Board (CARB) 2008 exhaust emission standards <strong>for</strong><br />

hydrocarbons and NO x . All marine outboard and personal watercraft engines<br />

manufactured in 2010 or later will be required to comply with USEPA 2008<br />

emission standards (USEPA 2008a), and spark-ignition marine vessel engines<br />

from 2012 and later will be required to comply with CARB and USEPA standards<br />

<strong>for</strong> evaporative emissions (CARB 2010c). Regulations regarding GHG emissions<br />

from motor vehicles (see below under “Greenhouse Gas Emissions”) would also<br />

reduce criteria pollutant emissions.<br />

<strong>San</strong> <strong>Luis</strong> <strong>Reservoir</strong> <strong>SRA</strong> 5-19<br />

<strong>Draft</strong> RMP/GP and <strong>Draft</strong> <strong>EIS</strong>/<strong>EIR</strong>

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