development report 2012 - UMAR

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72 Development Report 2012 Development by the priorities of SDS – Integration of measures to achieve sustainable development 5. Integration of measures to achieve sustainable development SDS guidelines: The priority Integration of measures to achieve sustainable development covers development in the areas of the environment, sustained population growth, regional and spatial development, and culture. The environmental objectives of SDS involve reducing energy intensity and increasing the use of renewable energy resources, decreasing resource intensity and promoting waste recycling. Promoting development and environmental technologies will contribute to the achievement of these objectives. In the area of transport, the aim is to promote sustainable modes of mobility and boost the use of public passenger transport. Another goal is to protect nature. The objective of sustained population growth involves ensuring better conditions for greater inclusion of the working-age population, creating suitable working and societal conditions for elderly active citizens, and providing appropriate conditions for starting families. More balanced regional development extends to a wide range of activities – from establishing regions, making the system more polycentric and planning for regional development to preserving population density, maintaining transport networks and boosting local economies. The measures planned are mostly aimed at strengthening local economies, the highereducation network, development aid and local selfgovernment, which would enable municipalities and regions to develop endogenously. The key priorities in the area of better spatial management focus on improving spatial management, with an emphasis on providing building plots and creating the conditions for improved operation of the housing market. The development of the national identity and culture calls for supporting the ethical, social, economic and political aspects of culture. 5.1. Integrating environmental criteria with sectoral policies In 2010, greenhouse gas emissions (GHG emissions) in Slovenia remained at the level of the previous year, and with the relatively low growth of GDP there was no considerable reduction in the emission intensity of the economy. 229 In 2009, GHG emissions in Slovenia 229 GHG emissions per unit of real GDP. decreased considerably on account of low economic activity, and remained almost unchanged in 2010 (0.2% increase). The emission intensity of the economy decreased by only 1.1%, which is relatively little in light of pre-2008 trends and EU trends. 230 Slovenia ranks among those countries where more emissions are generated per unit of value added. In 2009 the emission intensity of the Slovenian economy was as much as 18.7% higher than the EU average. Figure 21: Greenhouse gas emissions by sector and emission intensity, Slovenia In '000 of tonnes of CO 2 equivalent 22500 20000 17500 15000 12500 10000 7500 5000 2500 0 Other Agriculture Fuels in industry Transport 1986 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: ARSO, calculations by IMAD. Households Industrial processes Energy Emission intensity (right axis) 1200 1100 1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 The increase in the share of renewable energy sources (RES) in 2010 was, similar to the preceding year, mostly the consequence of certain one-time factors. The two most important RES in Slovenia are wood and hydropower; the share of hydropower is even the highest in the EU. The use of RES is, to a large extent, the result of natural conditions and is relatively high in Slovenia in comparison with other EU Member States. With a slowdown in the construction of larger capacities for RES generation 231 , the use of RES in Slovenia fluctuates over the years, depending on hydrological conditions. In 2009, these conditions were very favourable, and remained relatively so in 2010 232 . In addition, the improved collection of data on the use of biomass and the inclusion of geothermal and solar energy use in statistical monitoring contributed to a higher share of RES out of total energy consumption. As a result, the use of RES in Slovenia increased by 6.4% in 2010. With a lower increase in total energy consumption (by 2.2%), 230 The trends were also unfavourable in 2008 and 2009 because the emission intensity was reduced by only 0.1% or 1.2%, respectively. See also the indicator Greenhouse Gas Emissions. 231 The use of geothermal energy and certain other RES increased greatly in 2010, but it still represents a small share of renewable sources. 232 In 2009 and 2010, the use of hydro-energy was by more than a quarter higher than the average of the period 2000—2008. In tonnes /EUR million
Development Report 2012 Development by the priorities of SDS – Integration of measures to achieve sustainable development 73 the share of RES rose to 14.7% in 2010 233 , exceeding the target value of 12% 234 . It is estimated that, along with the relatively slow economic recovery, energy consumption in Slovenia increased slightly in 2011, while the use of hydropower decreased considerably (by approx. one fifth). We estimate that this led to a drop in the share of RES to below 14% of total energy consumption. The share of RES in electricity consumption fluctuates even more, depending on the level of hydropower generation. In 2010, despite persistent favourable hydrological conditions, this share fell to 34.4% owing to increased economic activity and the resulting rise in power consumption, but still exceeded the target percentage of 33.6%. As a consequence of the major reduction in the generation of hydropower plants and increased electricity consumption, we estimate that this share was greatly reduced in 2011, falling to approximately 26%. The EU target for Slovenia is to achieve at least a 25% share of RES in terms of gross final energy consumption by 2020 (19.9% in 2010 235 ). In order to achieve this target, increasing the capacities and use of RES will be crucial, as well as greater energy efficiency or a reduction of the energy intensity of the economy. In 2010, the energy intensity of the economy deteriorated. It has otherwise always been higher in Slovenia than in the majority of other EU Member States, mainly due to the use of energy in road transport. In Slovenia, energy consumption per unit of GDP decreased by an average of 2.6% annually during the period 2000–2007, while post-2007 trends were mostly unfavourable in terms of energy intensity 236 . In 2010, energy consumption (2.2%) exceeded GDP growth (1.4%), resulting in a 0.8% increase in the energy intensity of the economy; the same is estimated for 2011. In 2010 237 , Slovenia consumed 19.2% more energy per unit of GDP than the EU average (in 2005, the figure was 12.7%). High fuel consumption in road transport 238 boosts Slovenia’s energy intensity considerably; in 2010 only one EU Member State had a higher contribution than Slovenia in this respect. The pressure exerted on increasing energy intensity in the years before the crisis was produced primarily by road transport, when EU enlargement and the strengthening of international trade flows through Slovenia considerably stepped up the consumption of fuels in the transport of goods (also transit), which was additionally boosted by low fuel prices 233 From 14.2% in 2009. 234 The target set by the Resolution on the National Energy programme (2004) is to achieve at 12% share of RES in primary energy consumption and 33.6% in electrical energy consumption by 2010. 235 The methodology of calculation in this indicator varies from the calculation for the target set by the Resolution on the National Energy Programme. 236 2009 is an exception, whereas in 2008, 2010 and 2011 (estimate), the energy intensity of the Slovenian economy was increasing. 237 Latest internationally comparable data. 238 Statistical calculation of transport energy consumption takes into account the fuel quantities sold. which encouraged the purchase of fuels in Slovenia 239 . In addition to the above-average use of transport energy as a share of total energy use in Slovenia, (energy intensive) industry also has a relatively high share. The decrease in energy intensity in manufacturing continued in 2010, although the share of energyintensive and emission-intensive industries increased. In 2010, Slovenian manufacturing industries consumed 2.6% less energy per unit of value added than in the year before. Considering the trends in the 2006–2008 period, the 2010 decline in energy intensity was modest, but considerably better than in the preceding year and when compared with the energy intensity trend for the whole economy. A decomposition analysis 240 of the decline in energy consumption in manufacturing industries shows that its decline was due to greater energy efficiency within industries. In 2010, energy costs on average represented 12.8% of the value added in the manufacturing sector, the most in the manufacture of basic metals and fabricated metal products (48.9%) 241 . Better energy efficiency can thus significantly boost the competitiveness of this most export-oriented part of the Slovenian economy. The factor that prompted increased energy use in manufacturing industries in 2010 242 was the effect of the changed structure. This means that the share of energyintensive industries in manufacturing value added increased, mostly as a result of the over 25% increase in value added generated by the metal industry. The share of emission-intensive industries 243 also increased to 24.1% in 2010 and is much greater in Slovenia than in most other EU Member States, especially bearing in mind that the share of manufacturing industries is relatively high in Slovenia. In 2010, the share of freight transport by road declined, thereby interrupting a trend of rapid rises in previous years. As a result of an increase in foreign trade flows in 2010, the volume of freight transport by rail and road rose again. In 2010, rail freight transport volumes in Slovenia increased more (by 21.4%) than road freight 239 Lower diesel fuel prices in comparison with neighbouring countries stimulate the purchase of fuels in Slovenia, affecting the statistical calculation of energy intensity as a result. 240 See also Emission-intensive industries indicator. 241 Data by AJPES, calculations by IMAD. 242 At the level of manufacturing, the effect of the structure boosting the consumption of energy was lower than the negative effect of energy intensity within the industries which contributed to its decline. Together, the two before mentioned effects led to decreased energy consumption. Taking into account also the effect of increased production, energy consumption in manufacturing increased but less than the value added. Consequently, energy intensity of manufacturing declined in 2010. 243 The World Bank's methodology includes a wider range of industries among the emission-intensive industries that among the energy-intensive industries. In manufacturing approximately 70% of GHG emissions are generated due to energy consumption, while the remainder is made up of process emissions.
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8 Development Report 2012 Main find
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10 Development Report 2012 Summary
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Part I Development by the prioritie
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THE SECOND PRIORITY Efficient use o
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THE FOURTH PRIORITY: A modern welfa
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Development Report 2012 Appendix 24
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Development Report 2012 Appendix 24
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