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Company Valuation Under IFRS : Interpreting and Forecasting ...

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<strong>Company</strong> valuation under <strong>IFRS</strong><br />

Most quoted EU companies must report under <strong>IFRS</strong> after January 1st, 2005. And<br />

the two boards that set these two st<strong>and</strong>ards are themselves working towards<br />

harmonisation on a single internationally accepted system of Generally Accepted<br />

Accounting Practices (GAAP).<br />

Sadly, this does not at all mean that interpretation of accounts will become<br />

unimportant, or that there will not be room for legitimate differences of opinion<br />

over company performance. However prescriptive the accounting convention,<br />

there will always be room for manoeuvre when companies report. The authors<br />

believe that in practice there are a relatively small number of key issues that<br />

investors need to underst<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> consider when interpreting company reports<br />

<strong>and</strong> accounts, <strong>and</strong> that these will remain even after further convergence of<br />

accounting st<strong>and</strong>ards. But that does not mean that an appropriate response is to<br />

declare accounting profits irrelevant, <strong>and</strong> to revert to simple reliance on cash<br />

flows as a tool for valuation.<br />

How the book is structured<br />

This book is set out in eight chapters.<br />

Chapter One<br />

The first chapter states the main thesis, which is that it is in effect impossible to<br />

value a company without reference to profit <strong>and</strong> capital employed. Attempts to<br />

avoid this simply result in implicit assumptions (usually foolish ones) replacing<br />

explicit assumptions (however wrong the latter may be). In addition, it argues<br />

that far from being unimportant, accruals represent key information about value,<br />

whether or not it is represented in the framework of a discounted cash flow<br />

(DCF) model.<br />

Chapter Two<br />

Chapter two attempts to explode another myth, that the cost of capital for a<br />

company is an unambiguous figure, <strong>and</strong> that it is stable. Neither is the case. We<br />

show how the traditional Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) can be<br />

reconciled with a more transparent approach based on Adjusted Present Value<br />

(APV), <strong>and</strong> argue that the traditional framework within which practitioners<br />

operate has at its core an assumption about the value of tax shelters that has led<br />

to systematic overvaluation of the benefits from leverage, another cause of the<br />

catastrophic fall in equity markets after the turn of the Millennium. In addition,<br />

there is an ambiguity at the heart of the treatment of debt in the st<strong>and</strong>ard Capital<br />

Asset Pricing Model (CAPM). Different interpretation of the risk premium on<br />

corporate debt results in very different estimates for WACC, <strong>and</strong> for the value of<br />

the enterprise.<br />

xiv

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