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Company Valuation Under IFRS : Interpreting and Forecasting ...

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Chapter Six – The awkward squad<br />

4. Commerzbank Profit <strong>and</strong> Loss Drivers<br />

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008<br />

Interest received/average earning assets 2.99% 3.09% 3.19% 3.29% 3.39% 3.49%<br />

Interest paid/average interest-bearing 1.20% 1.20% 1.20% 1.20% 1.20% 1.20%<br />

liabilities<br />

Growth in commissions received 3.68% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00%<br />

Growth in commissions paid 24.66% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00%<br />

Growth in trading profit 35.48% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%<br />

Profit on investments/investments 0.34% 0.34% 0.34% 0.34% 0.34% 0.34%<br />

Operating expenses/interest <strong>and</strong> 117.84% 100.00% 98.00% 96.00% 94.00% 92.00%<br />

commission income<br />

Other operating result/total assets 0.04% 0.04% 0.04% 0.04% 0.04% 0.04%<br />

Minority interest in profit 4.08% 13.34% 19.12% 21.24% 23.91% 27.38%<br />

5. Commerzbank end 2003 economic capital (€ billion)<br />

2003<br />

RWA 140.8<br />

Market risk (trading book) 0.8<br />

Market risk (banking book) 0.7<br />

Market risk (equity holdings) 2.9<br />

Credit risk 4.3<br />

Operational risk 0.9<br />

Business risk 0.5<br />

Total 10.1<br />

Diversification effects -2.2<br />

Economic capital after 7.9<br />

diversification effects<br />

Tier I capital 10.3<br />

Implied surplus 2.4<br />

Economic capital/RWA (%) 5.61%<br />

6. Commerzbank Regulatory Risk Weighted Assets <strong>and</strong> Capital Ratios (€ million)<br />

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008<br />

Total book assets 422,134 381,585 388,869 398,805 409,085 419,719 430,722<br />

Risk weighted assets (RWA) 160,190 140,829 145,542 149,261 153,108 157,088 161,206<br />

Risk weighted assets/total assets 37.95% 36.91% 37.43% 37.43% 37.43% 37.43% 37.43%<br />

Minimum Tier 1 ratio (%) 4.00% 4.00% 4.00% 4.00% 4.00% 4.00% 4.00%<br />

Regulatory minimum total 8.00% 8.00% 8.00% 8.00% 8.00% 8.00% 8.00%<br />

capital ratio (%)<br />

Core capital<br />

Equity capital in balance sheet 8,808 9,091 6,801 6,763 6,703 6,609 6,467<br />

Minority interests 1,262 1,213 1,300 1,437 1,603 1,810 2,073<br />

Goodwill (1,040) (690) (580) (470) (360) (250) (140)<br />

Adjustments 2,661 643 643 643 643 643 643<br />

Tier I capital 11,691 10,257 8,164 8,373 8,589 8,812 9,043<br />

Core capital ratio 7.30% 7.28% 5.61% 5.61% 5.61% 5.61% 5.61%<br />

Target capital ratio 5.61% 5.61% 5.61% 5.61% 5.61% 5.61%<br />

Target capital 7,900 8,164 8,373 8,589 8,812 9,043<br />

Surplus capital 2,357 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Supplementary capital<br />

Core capital 11,691 10,257 8,164 8,373 8,589 8,812 9,043<br />

Subordinated capital 9,237 8,381 8,381 8,381 8,381 8,381 8,381<br />

Adjustments (1,475) (513) (513) (513) (513) (513) (513)<br />

Tier II capital 19,453 18,125 16,032 16,241 16,457 16,680 16,911<br />

Tier III capital 209 125 125 125 125 125 125<br />

Total capital 19,662 18,250 16,157 16,366 16,582 16,805 17,036<br />

Total capital ratio 12.27% 12.96% 11.10% 10.96% 10.83% 10.70% 10.57%<br />

293

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