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Annual report 2006 - Dexia.com

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RISK MANAGEMENT<br />

MANAGEMENT REPORT<br />

COMPTES CONSOLIDÉS<br />

COMPTES SOCIAUX<br />

ORGANIZATION OF THE CONTROL<br />

<strong>Dexia</strong>’s Management Board, advised by Risk Management<br />

Group (RMG), retains ultimate responsibility to set the strategic<br />

direction of Market Risk Management (overall risk<br />

appetite, methodological choices, organization of <strong>report</strong>ing<br />

and of the decision processes).<br />

It is the task of RMG, in collaboration with the Risk Management<br />

teams of the different entities, to translate these<br />

decisions into precise and written policies, guidelines and procedures<br />

and to oversee their effective application. RMG is also<br />

in charge of defining the calculation methods that are to be<br />

applied at Group level as to P/L and risk measurement.<br />

Day-to-day responsibility for ensuring sound and robust market<br />

risk management and follow-up lies within the entities<br />

(<strong>com</strong>putation of the risk indicators, control of the limits...).<br />

Each entity is responsible for the follow-up of its market activities<br />

(subsidiaries included), for their monitoring and <strong>report</strong>ing<br />

to local authorities. The entire process is coordinated at Group<br />

level to ensure the coherence and the quality of risk control<br />

within the entire Group.<br />

As a next step, risk indicators are consolidated at the level of<br />

each activity line by the Risk Competence Center. Since the<br />

beginning of <strong>2006</strong>, market risk management has been organized<br />

by specialized Competence Centers (CC). The CC are transversally<br />

responsible for the analysis, follow-up and <strong>report</strong>ing of<br />

risks and results of their activity line on a Group-wide basis. In a<br />

final stage, Risk Management Group consolidates the risk and<br />

P/L-data per activity line into Group-wide figures.<br />

The Market Risk and Guidelines Committee, which is <strong>com</strong>posed<br />

of the members of the Management Board of the Group<br />

in charge of “Treasury and Financial Markets” and “Risk Management”,<br />

the Activity Line Heads and Group and Local Heads<br />

of Market Risk Management and ALM meets at least monthly<br />

and deals with all the topics related to market risk.<br />

Moreover, the Management Board of the Group is informed<br />

by RMG of any change in the risk profile at least every three<br />

months or more frequently if necessary.<br />

RISK EXPOSURE<br />

The Treasury & Financial Markets activities of <strong>Dexia</strong> are mainly<br />

oriented as a support function for the Group. The detailed<br />

VaR usage of <strong>Dexia</strong> Group is in the table below. The risk consumption<br />

of the financial activities of <strong>Dexia</strong> is EUR 29.8 million<br />

VaR on average in <strong>2006</strong> (not including DenizBank).<br />

ASSET AND LIABILITY<br />

MANAGEMENT (ALM)<br />

Structural interest rate, forex, equity and liquidity risks are<br />

managed and supervised by the Group’s Asset and Liability<br />

Management function (or ALM).<br />

The ALM interest rate risk management is split into two<br />

categories:<br />

• short-term ALM (up to 2 years and longer on some delegated<br />

currencies), which is delegated and captured by the<br />

market risk management driven approach (VaR limits, sensitivity<br />

limits, triggers, stop loss, daily follow-up...);<br />

• long-term ALM, which is not delegated and subject to a<br />

dedicated follow-up by the ALCO Group (ALM Committee),<br />

which meets on a monthly basis.<br />

Measurement of balance-sheet risks is harmonized among the<br />

Group’s various entities.<br />

Regarding the interest rate risk management of <strong>Dexia</strong> balance<br />

sheet, a calculation of the sensitivity of the net present value<br />

of the ALM positions is used as the main ALM indicator. The<br />

risk exposure is primarily on long-term interest rates in Europe<br />

and results from the structural difference between the amortization<br />

profiles of the fixed-rate assets and liabilities.<br />

The Basis Point Value (BPV) measures the change in the balance<br />

sheet net economic value if interest rates rise by 1%<br />

across the entire curve. The BPV of the <strong>Dexia</strong> Group (insurance<br />

<strong>com</strong>panies and pension funds excluded) amounts to<br />

EUR -494 million as of December 31, <strong>2006</strong>.<br />

Regarding the equity investment portfolio of <strong>Dexia</strong>, it is also<br />

the role of <strong>Dexia</strong> ALM to follow it up. This portfolio contains<br />

available-for-sale equities managed by the ALM <strong>com</strong>mittees<br />

with the VaR model.<br />

The Equity Value at Risk (VaR) measures the potential change in<br />

market value, whereas the Equity Earnings at Risk (EaR) measures<br />

the impact in the P/L statement if the VaR materializes.<br />

The Equity VaR calculated by <strong>Dexia</strong> is a measure of the potential<br />

loss that can be experienced with a level of confidence of<br />

99% and for a holding period of 10 days.<br />

The Equity EaR is much lower than calculated Equity VaR exposures<br />

as most of the listed shares have a positive AFS reserve<br />

cushion. <strong>Dexia</strong>’s impairment procedure is activated whenever<br />

the market value falls beneath 75% of the initial purchase<br />

price and/or when there is a lasting decline in the fair value.<br />

EVOLUTION OF VALUE AT RISK<br />

2005 <strong>2006</strong><br />

IR&FX EQ IR&FX EQ Spread Trading<br />

(in millions of EUR)<br />

(only fourth quarter)<br />

Individual Avg 24.2 Avg 2.8 Avg 25.2 Avg 2.3 Avg 11.7<br />

Max 34.5 Max 7.6 Max 43.7 Max 6.6 Max 16.0<br />

Global Avg 26.9 Avg 29.8<br />

Max 38.5 Max 58.9<br />

Limit 75 Limit 142<br />

IR = interest rate; EQ = equities; FX = forex.<br />

66 |<br />

<strong>Dexia</strong> / <strong>Annual</strong> Report <strong>2006</strong>

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