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A comparative analysis of the US and EU retail banking markets - Wsbi

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Funding by <strong>retail</strong> deposits represent upwards <strong>of</strong> 80%<br />

<strong>of</strong> total residential outst<strong>and</strong>ing stock <strong>of</strong> home loans<br />

in <strong>the</strong> UK, France, <strong>the</strong> Ne<strong>the</strong>rl<strong>and</strong>s <strong>and</strong> Italy 310 .<br />

There are a number <strong>of</strong> possible explanations as to<br />

why deposits continue to be <strong>the</strong> most common<br />

funding instrument for home loans in Europe:<br />

35%<br />

30%<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

There are exceptions though. Germany, Denmark <strong>and</strong><br />

Sweden all have substantial mortgage bond <strong>markets</strong>.<br />

And although RMBS activity in Europe is very low,<br />

MBS <strong>markets</strong> are becoming quite active in <strong>the</strong><br />

Ne<strong>the</strong>rl<strong>and</strong>s, Spain, Italy, <strong>the</strong> UK, Irel<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />

Belgium (where new issues <strong>of</strong> MBS represented,<br />

respectively, 21%, 17%, 15%, 14%, 13% <strong>and</strong> 13%<br />

<strong>of</strong> new residential mortgage loans in 2003).<br />

The growing popularity <strong>of</strong> MBS funding in Europe is<br />

possibly due to customers increasingly seeking<br />

alternative <strong>and</strong> more lucrative ways to invest <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

savings. This growing trend can be seen in graph 17,<br />

which also reveals however that <strong>the</strong> share <strong>of</strong> new<br />

mortgages financed via mortgage bonds has declined<br />

between 1998 <strong>and</strong> 2002. The result <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se two<br />

opposing trends for that period can also be seen in<br />

<strong>the</strong> graph, which reveals that <strong>the</strong> proportion <strong>of</strong><br />

mortgage loans financed with <strong>retail</strong> <strong>and</strong> wholesale<br />

funds relative to secondary funding has remained<br />

stable (figures for graph 17 can be seen in table AD<br />

in <strong>the</strong> table annex).<br />

Graph 17: Share <strong>of</strong> new mortgages financed<br />

in secondary <strong>markets</strong> in <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong><br />

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002<br />

1. The high savings rate in a majority <strong>of</strong> European<br />

countries, providing a huge mortgage funding<br />

source.<br />

2. Retail deposits are a cheap source <strong>of</strong> funding.<br />

3. Deposits are generally not sensitive to bank rating,<br />

so <strong>the</strong> costs <strong>of</strong> deposits will not rise during a<br />

downturn. Contrary to this, if a bank, or its<br />

mortgage bonds, are downgraded or traded at<br />

wider spreads, <strong>the</strong> returns on mortgage lending<br />

can be severely affected if funding is via RMBS<br />

or bonds.<br />

4. Deposit maturities follow quite well changes in<br />

maturities <strong>of</strong> home loans triggered by rate changes,<br />

falling when prepayment is triggered by a rate fall,<br />

<strong>and</strong> increasing as rates rise <strong>and</strong> maturities leng<strong>the</strong>n.<br />

5. Covered bonds are only available in certain<br />

European countries.<br />

6. Residential mortgage backed securities are very well<br />

developed in some European countries such as<br />

<strong>the</strong> UK <strong>and</strong> Spain, but less so in o<strong>the</strong>rs. Much <strong>of</strong><br />

this disparity derives from a lack <strong>of</strong> market<br />

liquidity <strong>and</strong> sophistication on <strong>the</strong> part <strong>of</strong> lenders<br />

<strong>and</strong> investors. This, in turn, is <strong>of</strong>ten a function <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> high costs <strong>of</strong> securitisation transactions in<br />

some countries, which has deterred lenders from<br />

entering this market 311 .<br />

Never<strong>the</strong>less, <strong>the</strong>re is an interest in Europe to look at<br />

ways to fur<strong>the</strong>r develop <strong>the</strong> use <strong>of</strong> capital <strong>markets</strong> to<br />

fund mortgage loans. The European Commission’s<br />

Forum Group on Mortgage Credit 312 , which brought<br />

toge<strong>the</strong>r a number <strong>of</strong> mortgage credit experts to<br />

look at ways to improve <strong>the</strong> integration <strong>of</strong> European<br />

mortgage <strong>markets</strong>, have for instance suggested<br />

exploring <strong>the</strong> possibility <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> development <strong>of</strong> a<br />

‘liquid <strong>and</strong> dynamic’ pan-European secondary<br />

mortgage market in Europe 313 .<br />

■ Mortgage Bond Funding<br />

■ MBS Funding<br />

■ Total Secondary Market Funding<br />

Source: “The costs <strong>and</strong> benefits <strong>of</strong> integration <strong>of</strong> <strong>EU</strong> mortgage<br />

<strong>markets</strong>”, London Economics, August 2005<br />

310 “Risk <strong>and</strong> funding in European residential mortgages”, Mercer Oliver Wyman, April 2005.<br />

311 Points 3, 4 <strong>and</strong> 6 from: “Risk <strong>and</strong> funding in European residential mortgages”, Mercer Oliver Wyman, April 2005.<br />

312 The Forum Group was created by <strong>the</strong> internal market Directorate General <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> European Commission in 2003. The Group included more than twenty experts<br />

from eleven Member States. It was set up to advise <strong>the</strong> Commission on how to make progress towards a European market for home loans, which would<br />

make it easier for home buyers to save money by choosing mortgage products from lenders anywhere in <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong>. National consumers associations, <strong>the</strong> credit<br />

<strong>and</strong> insurance sectors, <strong>and</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r stakeholders such as European notaries <strong>and</strong> chartered surveyors were all represented in <strong>the</strong> group.<br />

313 See “The integration <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong> mortgage credit <strong>markets</strong>”, Report by <strong>the</strong> Forum Group on Mortgage Credit, European Commission, 2004.<br />

118

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