A comparative analysis of the US and EU retail banking markets - Wsbi
A comparative analysis of the US and EU retail banking markets - Wsbi
A comparative analysis of the US and EU retail banking markets - Wsbi
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6.3.1.2 Retail <strong>and</strong> commercial payments<br />
The table below summarises <strong>the</strong> evolution <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
volumes <strong>of</strong> cashless <strong>retail</strong> <strong>and</strong> commercial payment<br />
transactions in <strong>the</strong> <strong>US</strong>, by type <strong>of</strong> payment instrument<br />
or channel:<br />
Table 24: Annual volume <strong>of</strong> non-cash payment transactions in <strong>the</strong> <strong>US</strong> (billion transactions - estimates)<br />
2000 2004 Av. % change p.a.<br />
Credit transfers (1) (2) 4.3 5.1 6.0%<br />
Direct debits (1) 2.4 5.8 25.0%<br />
Cheques 41.9 34.8 -5.0%<br />
Debit card transactions 8.3 19.4 24.0%<br />
Credit card transactions 15.6 19.1 5.0%<br />
ATM cash withdrawals n.a. 5.9 n.a.<br />
Total cashless transactions n.a. 90.1 n.a.<br />
Excluding ATM cash withdrawals 72.5 84.2 4%<br />
Excluding cheques <strong>and</strong> ATM cash withdrawals 30.6 49.4 12.5%<br />
Sources: 2004 Federal Reserve Bank Payments Study; March 2006 BIS-CPSS "Statistics on payment <strong>and</strong> settlement systems in selected countries".<br />
(1): Credits <strong>and</strong> debits processed according to ACH rules.<br />
(2): "EBT" (Electronic Benefits Transfers) transactions have here been added to credit transfer transactions.<br />
Overall, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> <strong>US</strong> <strong>retail</strong> <strong>and</strong> commercial<br />
cashless payment transactions grew by about 4%<br />
p.a. between 2000 <strong>and</strong> 2004 (on a like for like<br />
comparison, i.e. excluding ATM cash withdrawals).<br />
This moderate growth rate – somewhat higher than<br />
<strong>the</strong> growth in real Gross Domestic Product, yet lower<br />
than <strong>the</strong> growth in real personal consumption<br />
expenditure – hides significant differences between<br />
<strong>the</strong> various payment instruments:<br />
- Cheques: once <strong>the</strong> <strong>US</strong> payment instrument <strong>of</strong><br />
choice. In 2004 <strong>the</strong>y still accounted for nearly 41%<br />
<strong>of</strong> cashless payment instruments (excluding ATM<br />
cash withdrawals), compared with a 58% share in<br />
2000. Although <strong>the</strong> average rate <strong>of</strong> decline was<br />
5% p.a., <strong>the</strong> much higher than anticipated actual<br />
decline which had been accelerating year on year<br />
seems to have reached a plateau in 2003 <strong>and</strong><br />
2004. Experts conjecture whe<strong>the</strong>r this is a trend<br />
likely to continue. These figures however refer to<br />
cheques paid (by depository financial institutions),<br />
not to <strong>the</strong> sum <strong>of</strong> cheques written. Indeed<br />
consumer cheques are increasingly converted – at<br />
<strong>the</strong> point <strong>of</strong> sale by agreement between <strong>the</strong><br />
merchant <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> customer – into electronic<br />
debits through <strong>the</strong> Automated Clearing House<br />
(ACH) network.<br />
This conversion fuels to some extent <strong>the</strong> growth<br />
in ACH debit transactions, although <strong>the</strong> total<br />
volume <strong>of</strong> debits is still smaller than <strong>the</strong> overall<br />
decline in cheque volumes, which points to a<br />
genuine migration to o<strong>the</strong>r types <strong>of</strong> payment<br />
instruments. It is estimated that currently consumers<br />
migrate more rapidly to o<strong>the</strong>r instruments than<br />
business does.<br />
- Cards: <strong>the</strong> <strong>US</strong> was also once touted as <strong>the</strong><br />
country <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> credit card. This image will need<br />
revision in <strong>the</strong> very near future, as debit card<br />
transactions grew strongly between 2000 <strong>and</strong> 2004<br />
at 6 times <strong>the</strong> average growth rate for all cashless<br />
payment instruments, <strong>and</strong> now outperform credit<br />
card transactions (not taking into consideration<br />
proprietary store cards).<br />
With more <strong>US</strong> issuers constantly deploying chip <strong>and</strong><br />
PIN-based debit card solutions, this is a trend which<br />
is likely to continue. It should be noted however that<br />
up to now most <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> growth has been in <strong>of</strong>f-line<br />
debit. With so far a very limited deployment <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
EMV security protocol, this area looks like a tempting<br />
target for fraudsters.<br />
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