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A comparative analysis of the US and EU retail banking markets - Wsbi

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5.3.2.2.2 Return on equity<br />

Average ROE in <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong> increased from 10.6% in 1995<br />

to 14.1% in 2000 (hitting a peak <strong>of</strong> 15.2% in 1998)<br />

<strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>n fell every year since to 10.1% in 2003<br />

(see table 16 opposite). Note that ROEs are<br />

considerably higher than <strong>the</strong> European average in a<br />

number <strong>of</strong> countries, especially in <strong>the</strong> UK.<br />

5.3.2.2.3 Cost-income ratio<br />

The average cost to income ratio for <strong>EU</strong> banks has<br />

also generally followed a downward trend since<br />

1992, as can be seen from table 17 opposite, with a<br />

high in 1992 <strong>of</strong> 68.6% <strong>and</strong> a low in 1998 <strong>of</strong> 61.4%.<br />

With regard to return on equity, <strong>the</strong> <strong>US</strong> has<br />

consistently exceeded <strong>the</strong> average ROE <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>EU</strong> 15 by a significant margin, as graph 14 below<br />

demonstrates. However, <strong>the</strong> range <strong>of</strong> ROEs across<br />

Member States is wide <strong>and</strong> a number <strong>of</strong> countries,<br />

namely <strong>the</strong> UK <strong>and</strong> Luxembourg have achieved<br />

consistently higher ROEs than <strong>the</strong> <strong>US</strong>.<br />

Looking at <strong>the</strong> evolution <strong>of</strong> ROEs in <strong>the</strong> <strong>US</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong>,<br />

ROE has been relatively stable in <strong>the</strong> <strong>US</strong> since 1995,<br />

hovering around <strong>the</strong> 20% mark, while in <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong> a<br />

positive trend in ROEs since 1995 turned into a<br />

downward trend from 1998 right up to 2003 (see<br />

graph 15 below). It would however be futile to attempt<br />

making sense <strong>of</strong> this evolution, given <strong>the</strong> volatility <strong>of</strong><br />

ROEs at <strong>the</strong> level <strong>of</strong> individual Member States.<br />

5.3.2.3 Comparison<br />

As can be seen from graph 13 below, net interest<br />

margins in <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong> are significantly below those for <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>US</strong>. Note too that for both <strong>markets</strong>, interest margins<br />

have followed a downward trend over <strong>the</strong> years.<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

Graph 14: Comparison <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> RoE (before<br />

taxes) in <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>US</strong>, 1995-2003<br />

Looking at <strong>the</strong> level <strong>of</strong> individual Member States,<br />

few countries in <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong> have achieved net interest<br />

margins comparable to <strong>the</strong> <strong>US</strong> (3% or over) excepting<br />

for Italy in 1992 <strong>and</strong> 1993, Portugal in 1993, Denmark<br />

(over a 4 year period between 1992 <strong>and</strong> 1995, over<br />

which it achieved a top margin <strong>of</strong> 3.94%), <strong>and</strong> Spain<br />

in 1992, 1993 <strong>and</strong> 1994. None have achieved margins<br />

anywhere as high as <strong>the</strong> <strong>US</strong> in recent years.<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

4.0%<br />

3.5%<br />

3.0%<br />

2.5%<br />

2.0%<br />

1.5%<br />

1.0%<br />

0.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

Graph 13: Comparison <strong>of</strong> net interest margins<br />

in <strong>the</strong> <strong>US</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong>, 1997 – 2003<br />

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003<br />

■ <strong>EU</strong> Average<br />

■ <strong>US</strong> Average<br />

Source: ESBG calculations based on data from OECD for <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong><br />

<strong>and</strong> FDIC & NCUA for <strong>the</strong> <strong>US</strong>.<br />

■ <strong>EU</strong> Average<br />

■ <strong>US</strong> Average<br />

Source: ESBG calculations based on data from OECD for <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong><br />

<strong>and</strong> FDIC & NCUA for <strong>the</strong> <strong>US</strong>.<br />

97

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