A comparative analysis of the US and EU retail banking markets - Wsbi
A comparative analysis of the US and EU retail banking markets - Wsbi
A comparative analysis of the US and EU retail banking markets - Wsbi
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5.3.2.2.2 Return on equity<br />
Average ROE in <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong> increased from 10.6% in 1995<br />
to 14.1% in 2000 (hitting a peak <strong>of</strong> 15.2% in 1998)<br />
<strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>n fell every year since to 10.1% in 2003<br />
(see table 16 opposite). Note that ROEs are<br />
considerably higher than <strong>the</strong> European average in a<br />
number <strong>of</strong> countries, especially in <strong>the</strong> UK.<br />
5.3.2.2.3 Cost-income ratio<br />
The average cost to income ratio for <strong>EU</strong> banks has<br />
also generally followed a downward trend since<br />
1992, as can be seen from table 17 opposite, with a<br />
high in 1992 <strong>of</strong> 68.6% <strong>and</strong> a low in 1998 <strong>of</strong> 61.4%.<br />
With regard to return on equity, <strong>the</strong> <strong>US</strong> has<br />
consistently exceeded <strong>the</strong> average ROE <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>EU</strong> 15 by a significant margin, as graph 14 below<br />
demonstrates. However, <strong>the</strong> range <strong>of</strong> ROEs across<br />
Member States is wide <strong>and</strong> a number <strong>of</strong> countries,<br />
namely <strong>the</strong> UK <strong>and</strong> Luxembourg have achieved<br />
consistently higher ROEs than <strong>the</strong> <strong>US</strong>.<br />
Looking at <strong>the</strong> evolution <strong>of</strong> ROEs in <strong>the</strong> <strong>US</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong>,<br />
ROE has been relatively stable in <strong>the</strong> <strong>US</strong> since 1995,<br />
hovering around <strong>the</strong> 20% mark, while in <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong> a<br />
positive trend in ROEs since 1995 turned into a<br />
downward trend from 1998 right up to 2003 (see<br />
graph 15 below). It would however be futile to attempt<br />
making sense <strong>of</strong> this evolution, given <strong>the</strong> volatility <strong>of</strong><br />
ROEs at <strong>the</strong> level <strong>of</strong> individual Member States.<br />
5.3.2.3 Comparison<br />
As can be seen from graph 13 below, net interest<br />
margins in <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong> are significantly below those for <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>US</strong>. Note too that for both <strong>markets</strong>, interest margins<br />
have followed a downward trend over <strong>the</strong> years.<br />
25%<br />
20%<br />
Graph 14: Comparison <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> RoE (before<br />
taxes) in <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>US</strong>, 1995-2003<br />
Looking at <strong>the</strong> level <strong>of</strong> individual Member States,<br />
few countries in <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong> have achieved net interest<br />
margins comparable to <strong>the</strong> <strong>US</strong> (3% or over) excepting<br />
for Italy in 1992 <strong>and</strong> 1993, Portugal in 1993, Denmark<br />
(over a 4 year period between 1992 <strong>and</strong> 1995, over<br />
which it achieved a top margin <strong>of</strong> 3.94%), <strong>and</strong> Spain<br />
in 1992, 1993 <strong>and</strong> 1994. None have achieved margins<br />
anywhere as high as <strong>the</strong> <strong>US</strong> in recent years.<br />
15%<br />
10%<br />
5%<br />
0%<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
4.0%<br />
3.5%<br />
3.0%<br />
2.5%<br />
2.0%<br />
1.5%<br />
1.0%<br />
0.5%<br />
0.0%<br />
Graph 13: Comparison <strong>of</strong> net interest margins<br />
in <strong>the</strong> <strong>US</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong>, 1997 – 2003<br />
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003<br />
■ <strong>EU</strong> Average<br />
■ <strong>US</strong> Average<br />
Source: ESBG calculations based on data from OECD for <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong><br />
<strong>and</strong> FDIC & NCUA for <strong>the</strong> <strong>US</strong>.<br />
■ <strong>EU</strong> Average<br />
■ <strong>US</strong> Average<br />
Source: ESBG calculations based on data from OECD for <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong><br />
<strong>and</strong> FDIC & NCUA for <strong>the</strong> <strong>US</strong>.<br />
97