A comparative analysis of the US and EU retail banking markets - Wsbi
A comparative analysis of the US and EU retail banking markets - Wsbi
A comparative analysis of the US and EU retail banking markets - Wsbi
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Finally, looking at cost-income ratios for credit<br />
institutions in <strong>the</strong> <strong>US</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong> (graph 15), we can<br />
see that in both <strong>markets</strong> <strong>the</strong>se were comparable <strong>and</strong><br />
followed a downward trend until 2001, when <strong>the</strong> <strong>US</strong><br />
industry cost/ income ratio came down significantly<br />
while <strong>the</strong> opposite happened in <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong>.<br />
A number <strong>of</strong> <strong>EU</strong> countries such as Denmark, Spain,<br />
Irel<strong>and</strong>, Luxembourg, Portugal <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> United<br />
Kingdom have achieved ratios lower than both <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>EU</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>US</strong> average for most <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> years under<br />
comparison. Luxembourg has achieved by far <strong>the</strong><br />
lowest cost to income ratio consistently throughout<br />
<strong>the</strong> period.<br />
Graph 15: Comparison <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> cost to income<br />
ratio in <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>US</strong>, 1994-2003<br />
70.0%<br />
67.5%<br />
65.0%<br />
62.5%<br />
60.0%<br />
57.5%<br />
55.0%<br />
52.5%<br />
50.0%<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
■ <strong>EU</strong> Average<br />
■ <strong>US</strong> Average<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
Source: ESBG calculations based on data from OECD for <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong><br />
<strong>and</strong> FDIC & NCUA for <strong>the</strong> <strong>US</strong>.<br />
2003<br />
A number <strong>of</strong> possible explanations exist which could<br />
explain <strong>the</strong> divergence in performance between <strong>US</strong><br />
<strong>and</strong> <strong>EU</strong> credit institutions, as measured by <strong>the</strong> above<br />
indicators.<br />
No unique explanation exists concerning <strong>the</strong> important<br />
difference between <strong>US</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>EU</strong> banks as regards<br />
interest margins. One possible way to explain <strong>the</strong><br />
difference refers to a possible lower level <strong>of</strong><br />
competition in <strong>the</strong> intermediation business in <strong>the</strong> <strong>US</strong><br />
as compared to <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong>. Reference is also made to<br />
<strong>the</strong> composition <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> portfolios <strong>of</strong> assets <strong>of</strong> <strong>US</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />
<strong>EU</strong> banks, with <strong>US</strong> banks having a stronger focus on<br />
assets which bring higher yields. In this context, <strong>the</strong><br />
interest margins <strong>of</strong> <strong>US</strong> banks can have been favoured<br />
by <strong>the</strong> dynamism <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>US</strong> consumer credit market,<br />
as compared to <strong>the</strong> European one.<br />
The fact that <strong>banking</strong> institutions in <strong>the</strong> <strong>US</strong> are<br />
generally highly capitalised could also explain part<br />
<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> difference observed with regard to interest<br />
margin between <strong>the</strong> <strong>US</strong> <strong>and</strong> in <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong>. Indeed, <strong>the</strong><br />
interest rate margin <strong>of</strong> a bank is influenced by <strong>the</strong><br />
proportion <strong>of</strong> own funds held by <strong>the</strong> bank, given<br />
that <strong>the</strong> remuneration <strong>of</strong> own funds is not included<br />
in <strong>the</strong> calculation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> interest rate margins.<br />
With regard specifically to <strong>the</strong> fall in net interest<br />
margins experienced in <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong>, part <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> decline<br />
has been due to <strong>the</strong> convergence <strong>of</strong> interest rates<br />
towards <strong>the</strong> common levels for European Monetary<br />
Union, followed by <strong>the</strong> adoption <strong>of</strong> a single interest<br />
rate for <strong>the</strong> eurozone. The creation <strong>of</strong> a monetary<br />
union has also increased <strong>the</strong> level <strong>of</strong> competition<br />
among financial institutions in <strong>the</strong> eurozone, which<br />
has in turn put pressure on banks’ interest margins.<br />
Bank margins in both <strong>the</strong> <strong>US</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong> have<br />
also likely been affected by low inflation <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
consequent fall in nominal interest rates, especially in<br />
<strong>the</strong> years 2001 – 2003. Very low interest rates are in<br />
general more difficult to pass on to customers on <strong>the</strong>ir<br />
deposits, with a resulting pressure on bank margins.<br />
As mentioned above, a possible reason for <strong>the</strong><br />
decline in bank margins has been <strong>the</strong> reported<br />
increase in competition from new entrants. In actual<br />
facts, increasing competition in <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong> <strong>banking</strong><br />
<strong>markets</strong> could explain why both margins <strong>and</strong> ROEs<br />
have been falling, possibly reflecting downward<br />
pressure on pr<strong>of</strong>its. But, as we explain in <strong>the</strong> product<br />
<strong>and</strong> distribution chapter <strong>of</strong> this study, competition to<br />
banks from non-banks has been more significant in<br />
<strong>the</strong> <strong>US</strong> than <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong>, especially due to <strong>the</strong> growing<br />
commoditisation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>US</strong> mortgage <strong>and</strong> consumer<br />
lending <strong>markets</strong>. Yet <strong>the</strong> ROEs <strong>of</strong> credit institutions<br />
<strong>the</strong>re are not only larger than that for most <strong>EU</strong><br />
Member States, <strong>the</strong>y have been growing in <strong>the</strong> last<br />
few years while ROEs in <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong> have been falling.<br />
Perhaps, higher ROEs in <strong>the</strong> <strong>US</strong> could be <strong>the</strong> result <strong>of</strong><br />
generally higher risk taking by <strong>banking</strong> institutions<br />
(with <strong>the</strong> result <strong>of</strong> higher pay-<strong>of</strong>fs) <strong>the</strong>re than <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong>.<br />
The discrepancy could also be explained in terms <strong>of</strong><br />
factors external to <strong>the</strong> <strong>banking</strong> sector, such as for<br />
instance flexible labour market laws <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> more<br />
favourable economic climate enjoyed by credit<br />
institutions present in <strong>the</strong> <strong>US</strong>, who benefited from an<br />
average annual growth in <strong>US</strong> real GDP between<br />
1993 <strong>and</strong> 2003 <strong>of</strong> 3.3% compared to 2.1% for <strong>the</strong><br />
Eurozone for <strong>the</strong> same period 254 .<br />
254 The Economist statistics.<br />
98