Grain Legumes and Green Manures for Soil Fertility in ... - cimmyt
Grain Legumes and Green Manures for Soil Fertility in ... - cimmyt
Grain Legumes and Green Manures for Soil Fertility in ... - cimmyt
You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles
YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.
the <strong>in</strong>vestment costs <strong>in</strong>curred. The <strong>in</strong>vestment cost<br />
.<strong>for</strong> farmers who <strong>for</strong>go maize production<br />
(opportunity cost of the l<strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong> terms of <strong>for</strong>gone<br />
maize gra<strong>in</strong>) is less than <strong>for</strong> those who fallow their<br />
l<strong>and</strong>s (mucuna production cost). This is due to very<br />
low maize yields achieved on the soils that are<br />
degraded.<br />
In Malawi, the opportunity cost of <strong>for</strong>go<strong>in</strong>g maize<br />
production is more than the production cost (on<br />
labour <strong>and</strong> seed) of grow<strong>in</strong>g mucuna <strong>in</strong> the<br />
<strong>in</strong>vestment season. ' This expla<strong>in</strong>s why, unlike <strong>in</strong><br />
Zimbabwe, <strong>in</strong>vest<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> mucuna is more attractive<br />
(better NPY) <strong>for</strong> farmers who fallow than <strong>for</strong><br />
farmers who have to <strong>for</strong>go maize production.<br />
The fact that NPY is positive is not the only criterion<br />
or factor that farmers may cOf\Sider <strong>in</strong> their decision<br />
to adopt mucuna. The magnitude of the NPY <strong>and</strong><br />
the risk<strong>in</strong>ess of the technology are additional factors<br />
farmers may consider <strong>in</strong> adoption of the mucuna<br />
technology.<br />
Significance of NPV<br />
To assess the magnitude of the NPY <strong>and</strong> its<br />
significance to farmers, the maize gra<strong>in</strong> equivalent<br />
value can be a simple benchmark <strong>in</strong>dicator. In<br />
Zimbabwe the NPYs ha-] <strong>for</strong> both types of farmers<br />
are worth about 1.1 t of additional maize gra<strong>in</strong> to<br />
the farmer's household over the mucuna-maizemaize<br />
rotation period (3 years) while <strong>in</strong> Malawi the<br />
NPYs ha-] are worth about 0.25 t of additional maize<br />
gra<strong>in</strong>. Whether these additional pay-offs 'are<br />
worthwhile or not will vary from farmer to farmer<br />
depend<strong>in</strong>g on their various socio-economic<br />
characteristics. However, an additional tonne of<br />
For farmers who fallow l<strong>and</strong>:<br />
#1 Maize <strong>Gra<strong>in</strong></strong> price (K/kg) <br />
#2 Year 1 yield <strong>in</strong>crease (kg) <br />
#3 Discount<strong>in</strong>g factor <br />
#4 Year 2 yield <strong>in</strong>crease (kg) <br />
#5 Wage rate (K/day) <br />
#6 Mucuna labour (days). <br />
#7 Seed rate (Kg/ha) <br />
1#8<br />
Mucuna seed costs (K/kg)<br />
maize can be very mean<strong>in</strong>gful <strong>for</strong> many farmers<br />
who are faced with food <strong>in</strong>security <strong>and</strong> limited<br />
choices. Note that the additional cash dem<strong>and</strong>s <strong>for</strong><br />
labour <strong>and</strong> seed <strong>for</strong> <strong>in</strong>vest<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> mucuna are very<br />
modest compared to <strong>in</strong>put costs <strong>for</strong> grow<strong>in</strong>g maize.<br />
Sensitivity <strong>and</strong> Risk Assessment<br />
Farmers operate <strong>in</strong> an environment of risk <strong>and</strong><br />
uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty. In reality the expected maize yield<br />
<strong>in</strong>crease a'ssociated with mucuna, maize gra<strong>in</strong>. price<br />
<strong>and</strong> labour costs are not \ fixed but subject to<br />
changes. This makes it necessary to subject NPYs to<br />
sensitivity analysis to take <strong>in</strong>to account the<br />
uncerta<strong>in</strong>ties <strong>in</strong>herent <strong>in</strong> the elements of the NPYs.<br />
Results of risk analysis show that <strong>in</strong> general the<br />
technology is more risky to farmers who <strong>for</strong>ego<br />
maize produ~tion than farmers who fallow <strong>in</strong> both<br />
countries (see Appendix 4). There is a 30% <strong>and</strong> 38%<br />
chance <strong>in</strong> Zimbabwe <strong>and</strong> Malawi, respectively, that<br />
the NPY is negative <strong>for</strong> farmers who <strong>for</strong>go maize <strong>in</strong><br />
the <strong>in</strong>vestment year. For farmers who fallow,<br />
chances that the NPY is negative are about 10% <strong>in</strong><br />
both countries. The risk level of 30 <strong>and</strong> 38% of<br />
gett<strong>in</strong>g negative returns can be high to many<br />
smallholder farmers who are generally risk averse.<br />
This level of risk can be prohibitive to mucuna<br />
adoption by l<strong>and</strong> constra<strong>in</strong>ed smallholder' farmers<br />
<strong>in</strong> Malawi <strong>and</strong> Zimbabwe who are pressed with the<br />
need to produce maize every season. Farmers who<br />
alreaady fallow l<strong>and</strong> are there<strong>for</strong>e more likely to<br />
adopt mucuna as their <strong>in</strong>vestments <strong>in</strong> mucuna are<br />
less risky than <strong>for</strong> farmers who have to <strong>for</strong>ego<br />
maize production.<br />
The sensitivity analysis reveals that changes <strong>in</strong> the<br />
benefit elements are more<br />
Table 2. Sensitivity of NPVs to changes <strong>in</strong> costs <strong>and</strong> benefit elements<br />
Malawi<br />
Zimbabwe<br />
important <strong>in</strong> determ<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />
the NPY than changes <strong>in</strong><br />
For non· fallow<strong>in</strong>g farmers<br />
the cost elements <strong>for</strong><br />
Rank<br />
Element<br />
Regr Corr Rank<br />
Element Regr Corr fallow<strong>in</strong>g farmers (Table<br />
#1 Forgone maize harvest (kg) ·0.67 ·0.72 #1 Forgone Maize harvest (kg) .0,60 .0.66 , 2). For farmers who fallow<br />
#2 Discount<strong>in</strong>g factor<br />
0.40 0.49 #2 Year 1maize yield <strong>in</strong>crease (kg) 0.55 0.57 l<strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong> Malawi, changes <strong>in</strong><br />
the maize gra<strong>in</strong> price have<br />
#3 Year 1 maize yield <strong>in</strong>crease (kg) 0.36 0.42 #3 Year 2 maize yield <strong>in</strong>crease (kg) 0.41 0.15 the most <strong>in</strong>fluence on<br />
#4 Year 2 maize yield <strong>in</strong>crease (kg) 0.31 0.27 #4 Discount<strong>in</strong>g Factor<br />
0.40 0.33<br />
#5 Maize <strong>Gra<strong>in</strong></strong> price (K/kg) 0.09 0.06 #5 Maize gra<strong>in</strong> price (S/kg) 0.21 0.07<br />
0.64 0.52 #1 Discount<strong>in</strong>g factor 0.64 0.47<br />
0.57 0.67 #2 Maize <strong>Gra<strong>in</strong></strong> price (S/kg) 0.57 0.42<br />
0.40 0.35 #3 Year 1 yield <strong>in</strong>crease (kg) 0.45 0.37<br />
0.35 0.25 #4 Year 2 yield <strong>in</strong>crease (kg) . 0.41 0.42<br />
·0:07 ·0.12 #5 Mucuna labour (hrs) 0.00 0.12<br />
0.00 ·0.06 #6 L<strong>and</strong> prep cost (S) 0.00 0.03<br />
0.00 0.08 #7 Wage rate (S/hr) 0.00 0.05<br />
0.00 ·0.06 #8 Seed rate (Kg/ha) 0.00 ·0.02<br />
#9 Mucuna seed costs (S/kg) 0.00 0.02<br />
NPY. The changes <strong>in</strong> year<br />
1 maize yield <strong>in</strong>crement,<br />
discount<strong>in</strong>g factor <strong>and</strong><br />
year 2 maize yield<br />
<strong>in</strong>crement are ranked <strong>in</strong><br />
th,at order as the<br />
additional factors<br />
positively related to NPY.<br />
For farmers who fallow<br />
l<strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong> Zimbabwe, the<br />
discount<strong>in</strong>g factor is the<br />
most important factor<br />
positively related to NPY<br />
218<br />
<strong>Gra<strong>in</strong></strong> <strong>Legumes</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Green</strong> <strong>Manures</strong>· <strong>for</strong> <strong>Soil</strong> <strong>Fertility</strong> <strong>in</strong> Southern Africa