ClimateChange Assessment Guide.pdf - University of Waterloo

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Guide for Assessment of Hydrologic Effects of Climate Change in Ontario100Coulibaly, P., Y. Dibike, and F. Anctil. 2005. Downscaling precipitation and temperature with temporal neuralnetworks. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 6:483-496.Covey, C., K. AchutaRao, U. Cubasch, P. Jones, S. Lambert, M. Mann, T. Phillips, and K. Taylor. 2003. An overview ofresults from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project. Global and Planetary Change, 37:103-133.Crabbe, P., and M. Robin. 2006. Institutional adaptation of water resource infrastructures to climate change ineastern Ontario. Climatic Change, 78:1573-1480.Croley, T., F. Quinn, K. Kunkel, and S. Changnon. 1996. Climate Transposition Effects on the Great Lakes HydrologicalCycle.Cunderlik, J. 2003. Hydrologic Model Selection for the CFCAS Project: Assessment of Water Resources Risk andVulnerability to Changing Climatic Conditions. Canadian Foundation for Climate and Atmospheric SciencesProject Report 1, pp. 38. University of Western Ontario Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering,London, Ontario.Cunderlik, J., and S. Simonovic. 2005. Hydrological extremes in a southwestern Ontario river basin under futureclimate conditions. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 50:631-654.—. 2007. Inverse flood risk modelling under changing climatic conditions. Hydrological Processes, 21:563-577.Dai, A. 2006. Precipitation characteristics in eighteen coupled climate models. Journal of Climate, 19:4605-4630.Davies, E. G. R., and S. P. Simonovic. 2005. Climate change and the hydrological cycle, CSCE 17th HydrotechnicalConference, Hydrotechnical Engineering: Cornerstone of a Sustainable Environment. Edmonton, AB.de Loë, R., and A. Berg. 2006. Mainstreaming Climate Change in Drinking Water Source Protection Planning inOntario, Report prepared for Pollution Probe and the Canadian Water Resources Association (Ontario Branch),pp. 51. Pollution Probe, Ottawa, Ontario.Dessai, S. 2005. Robust Adaptation Decisions Amid Climate Change Uncertainties, University of East Anglia.Dessai, S., W. Adger, M. Hulme, J. Turnpenny, J. Köhler, and R. Warren. 2004. Defining and experiencing dangerousclimate change. Climatic Change, 64:11-25.Dessai, S., and M. Hulme. 2004. Does climate adaptation policy need probabilities? Climate Policy, 4:107-128.—. 2006. Assessing the robustness of adaptation decisions to climate change uncertainties: A case study on waterresources management in the East of England. Global Environmental Change, 17:59-72.Dessai, S., X. Lu, and M. Hulme. 2005. Limited sensitivity analysis of regional climate change probabilities for the 21stcentury. Journal of Geophysical Research, 110:17.Dessens, J. 1995. Severe convective weather in the context of a nighttime global warming. Geophysical ResearchLetters, 22:1241-1244.Dettinger, M. 2005. From climate-change spaghetti to climate-change distributions for 21st century California. SanFrancisco Estuary and Watershed Science, 3:Article 4 (14 pp).Diaz-Nieto, J., and R. Wilby. 2005. A comparison of statistical downscaling and climate change factor methods:impacts on low flows in the River Thames, United Kingdom. Climatic Change, 69:245-268.Dibike, Y., and P. Coulibaly. 2005. Hydrologic impact of climate change in the Saguenay watershed: comparison ofdownscaling methods and hydrologic models. Journal of Hydrology, 307:145-163.Dibike, Y., P. Gachon, A. St-Hilaire, T. Ouarda, and V. Nguyen. 2008. Uncertainty analysis of statistically downscaledtemperature and precipitation regimes in Northern Canada. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 91:149-170.Donigian, A. S., J. L. Baker, and D. A. Haith. 1983. HSPF parameter adjustments to evaluate the effects of agriculturalbest management practices. Contract report N0. 68-03-2895 for the U.S. EPA. Environmental ResearchLaboratory, Athens, Georgia.Downing, T., R. Butterfield, B. Edmonds, J. Knox, S. Moss, B. Piper, E. Weatherhead, and the CCDeW project team.2003. Climate Change and the Demand for Water, pp. 201. Stockholm Environment Institute Oxford Office,Oxford, United Kingdom.Drogue, G., L. Pfister, T. Leviandier, A. E. Idrissi, J.-F. Iffly, P. Matgen, J. Humbert, and L. Hoffmann. 2004. Simulatingthe spatio-temporal variability of streamflow response to climate change scenarios in a mesoscale basin. Journalof Hydrology, 293:255-269.
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Guide for Assessment of HydrologicE
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Executive SummaryExecutive Summaryi
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Estimating Future Local Climates4.
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Estimating Future Local Climates29c
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Estimating Future Local Climates33
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Hydrological Impacts5. Hydrologic I
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Hydrological Impacts375.1.2 Toronto
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Hydrological Impacts39frequency of
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Hydrological Impacts41for clouds to
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Hydrological Impacts45reduce the st
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Climate Change Assessment6. Climate
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Appendix E E-1Subwatershed 19 Case
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