ClimateChange Assessment Guide.pdf - University of Waterloo

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Guide for Assessment of Hydrologic Effects of Climate Change in Ontario70Table 6.5 Scenarios selected by the Percentiles Method using mean annual temperature change field (ºC)Percentile ID Model – GHG Emission Scenario Mean Annual Temperature Change (ºC)90th 35 MIROC3.2 medres - SR-A2 +3.7975th 53 NCARCCSM3 - SR-A2 +3.3850th 40 CSIROMk3 - SR-A2 +2.6125th 48 GFDLCM2.1 - SR-B1 +2.2210th 21 GISSAOM - SR-B1 +1.90Table 6.6 Scenarios selected by the Percentiles Method using mean annual precipitation change field (%)Percentile ID Model – GHG Emission Scenario Mean Annual Precipitation Change (%)90th 22 GISSE-H - SR-A1B +11.4475th 38 MRI CGCM2.3.2a - SR-A1B +8.2750th 54 NCARCCSM3 - SR-A1B +6.0425th 53 NCARCCSM3 - SR-A2 +2.3910th 35 MIROC3.2 medres - SR-A2 -1.76
Climate Change Assessment71Figure 6.3 Scatter plot of GCM-based mean annual temperature change versus mean annual precipitation change – 2050s relative to 1961-1990
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Guide for Assessment of HydrologicE
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Executive SummaryExecutive Summaryi
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Executive Summaryv2007c). The magni
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Executive Summaryviiwatering needs
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Executive SummaryixSummary GCM cont
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Executive SummaryxiStep-by-step Gui
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Table of ContentsTable of Contentsx
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Table of Contentsxv6.5.7 Compare Al
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Executive SummaryxviiTable 6.6 Scen
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Guide for Assessment of Hydrologic
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Appendix B B-1GCM Modelling GroupsT
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Appendix CGCM-Based Change FieldAss
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C-2Guide for Assessment of Hydrolog
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C-10Guide for Assessment of Hydrolo
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Appendix DRCM and GCM Data Conversi
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D-2Guide for Assessment of Hydrolog
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Appendix E E-1Subwatershed 19 Case
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