ClimateChange Assessment Guide.pdf - University of Waterloo

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E-36Guide for Assessment of Hydrological Effects of Climate Change in Ontario Figure 5-7: Monthly average air temperature for downscaled and associated GCM climates compared to thecurrent climate. Figure 5-8: Monthly total precipitation for downscaled and associated GCM climates compared to thecurrent climate.Additional statistics are examined for precipitation for the SDSM climates as these have altered variance from thecurrent climate. In these climates, precipitation characteristics are compared for days per year with precipitation (i.e.,
Appendix E E-37Subwatershed 19 Case Studywet days) and the average annual maximum drought duration (Figure 5-9). While the number of wet days is onlyslightly changed, the average drought duration decreases in the future climates from 13 days to 9 or 10 days.200180160140120days/yr 10080604020060 61 99Scenario ID #Wet daysDry daysFigure 5-9: Annual average number of wet and dry days for SDSM future climates compared to the currentclimate.This study also compared climates in terms of the number of hot days (i.e., > 30 o C) and cold days (< 0 o C) asillustrated in Figure 5-10. In all cases, the number of hot days is expected to increase substantially with increasesranging from 7 to 29 days above the current level of 5 days per year. Conversely, the number of cold days isexpected to decrease by 15 to 41 days per year.200180160140120days/yr 1008060402009 16 30 33 38 40 48 53 54 58 59 60 61 99Scenario ID #> 30 deg
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Guide for Assessment of HydrologicE
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Executive SummaryExecutive Summaryi
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Executive Summaryv2007c). The magni
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Executive Summaryviiwatering needs
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Executive SummaryixSummary GCM cont
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Executive SummaryxiStep-by-step Gui
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Table of ContentsTable of Contentsx
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Table of Contentsxv6.5.7 Compare Al
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Executive SummaryxviiTable 6.6 Scen
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Guide for Assessment of Hydrologic
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Estimating Future Local Climates4.
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Estimating Future Local Climates29c
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Estimating Future Local Climates31
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Estimating Future Local Climates33
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Hydrological Impacts5. Hydrologic I
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Hydrological Impacts375.1.2 Toronto
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Hydrological Impacts39frequency of
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Hydrological Impacts41for clouds to
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Hydrological Impacts43mid-winter me
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Hydrological Impacts45reduce the st
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Climate Change Assessment6. Climate
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Climate Change Assessment49• Plan
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Climate Change Assessment51This app
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Climate Change Assessment53inflow/o
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Climate Change Assessment55As the c
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Climate Change Assessment57Guidance
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Climate Change Assessment59Further,
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Climate Change Assessment63Table 6.
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Climate Change Assessment67The mean
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Climate Change Assessment71Figure 6
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Climate Change Assessment776.4.4 De
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Climate Change Assessment79change f
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Climate Change Assessment81referenc
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Climate Change Assessment83• Sele
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Climate Change Assessment854. STMND
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Climate Change Assessment89When com
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Climate Change Assessment91charts i
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Climate Change Assessment93With cli
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Climate Change Assessment956.7.2 Fu
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Appendix A A-1Watershed and Receivi
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Appendix A A-3Watershed and Receivi
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Appendix B B-1GCM Modelling GroupsT
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Appendix CGCM-Based Change FieldAss
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