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marker-assisted selection in wheat - ictsd

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Chapter 12 – Marker-<strong>assisted</strong> <strong>selection</strong> <strong>in</strong> dairy cattle 203are manageable if costs are spread overthe entire national dairy <strong>in</strong>dustry. Ratesof genetic ga<strong>in</strong> with<strong>in</strong> the nucleus are thushigher than can be obta<strong>in</strong>ed by a nationalPT design. This ga<strong>in</strong> is transferred to thegeneral population through the use of bullsfrom the nucleus population. In addition tothe greater overall rate of genetic ga<strong>in</strong>, thenucleus scheme has the advantage that it isnecessary to collect data on a much smallerpopulation, which should reduce costsand <strong>in</strong>crease accuracy. The disadvantagesof MOET are that overall costs and ratesof <strong>in</strong>crease of <strong>in</strong>breed<strong>in</strong>g will be greaterunless steps are taken to reduce <strong>in</strong>breed<strong>in</strong>g.However, these steps will also slightlydecrease rates of genetic ga<strong>in</strong>. In practice, nocountry has replaced its standard PT schemewith a nucleus breed<strong>in</strong>g programme.Dairy cattle breed<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>develop<strong>in</strong>g countriesThe genus Bos <strong>in</strong>cludes five to seven species,of which Bos taurus and Bos <strong>in</strong>dicusare the most widespread and economicallyimportant. B. taurus is the ma<strong>in</strong> dairycattle species, and is found generally <strong>in</strong>temperate climates. Several tropical andsubtropical cattle breeds are the result ofcrosses between B. taurus and B. <strong>in</strong>dicus,which <strong>in</strong>terbreed freely. In the tropics,cows need at least some degree of toleranceto environmental stress due to poornutrition, heat and disease challenge tosusta<strong>in</strong> relatively high production levels(Cunn<strong>in</strong>gham, 1989). Tropical breeds areadapted to these stresses but have low milkyield, whereas more productive temperatebreeds cannot withstand the harsh tropicalconditions, to the po<strong>in</strong>t of not be<strong>in</strong>g able tosusta<strong>in</strong> their numbers (de Vaccaro, 1990).Furthermore, most tropical countries aredevelop<strong>in</strong>g countries, which lack systematiclarge-scale milk and pedigree record<strong>in</strong>g.A number of studies have been conductedon crosses between imported andlocal breeds <strong>in</strong> the tropics. Generally, the F 1B. taurus x B. <strong>in</strong>dicus crosses are economicallysuperior to either of the purebredstra<strong>in</strong>s (FAO, 1987). The heterosis effectof the F 1 cross is due to genes for diseaseresistance from the local parent, and genesfor milk production from the importedstra<strong>in</strong> (Smith, 1988; Cunn<strong>in</strong>gham, 1989).However, this heterosis is lost <strong>in</strong> futuregenerations if the F 1 is backcrossed to eitherparental stra<strong>in</strong>. Madalena (1993) presentedan F 1 cont<strong>in</strong>uous replacement schemeto capitalize on its superiority. Recently,Kosgey, Kahi and van Arendonk (2005)proposed a closed adult nucleus MOETscheme to <strong>in</strong>crease milk production <strong>in</strong>tropical crossbred cattle.Economic considerations <strong>in</strong>apply<strong>in</strong>g MAS to dairy cattleFor any new technique to be economicallyviable, overall ga<strong>in</strong>s must be greater thanoverall costs. This also applies to us<strong>in</strong>gMAS with<strong>in</strong> a dairy cattle breed<strong>in</strong>g programme.However, unlike <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong>new equipment, genetic ga<strong>in</strong>s never “wearout”, i.e. breed<strong>in</strong>g is unique <strong>in</strong> that geneticga<strong>in</strong>s are cumulative and eternal. Thus, asshown by Weller (1994, 2001) <strong>in</strong>vestments<strong>in</strong> MAS or other techniques that enhancebreed<strong>in</strong>g programmes are economicallyviable even if “nom<strong>in</strong>al” costs are greaterthan “nom<strong>in</strong>al” ga<strong>in</strong>s.For example, consider an ongo<strong>in</strong>g breed<strong>in</strong>gprogramme with a constant rate of geneticga<strong>in</strong> per year. Assume that the annual rate ofgenetic ga<strong>in</strong> has a nom<strong>in</strong>al economical valueof V. The cumulative discounted returns toyear T, R v , will be a function of the nom<strong>in</strong>alannual returns, the discount rate, d, theprofit horizon, T, and the number of yearsfrom the beg<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g of the programme until

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