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marker-assisted selection in wheat - ictsd

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336Marker-<strong>assisted</strong> <strong>selection</strong> – Current status and future perspectives <strong>in</strong> crops, livestock, forestry and fishFigure 1Predicted probability of assign<strong>in</strong>g the correct sire-dam (parent-pair) for a given number ofparent-pairs (x axis) us<strong>in</strong>g different comb<strong>in</strong>ations of three microsatellites (L1, L2 and L3)amplified <strong>in</strong> Oncorhynchus kisutch1L1 (0.985) L2 (0.644) L3 (0.646)L1+L2 (0.995) L1+L3 (0.995) L2+L3 (0.874)L1+L2+L3 (0.998)0.9P (correctly assign<strong>in</strong>g the true parent-pair)0.80.70.60.50.40.30.20.100 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400Number of parent-pairsProbabilities of exclusion <strong>in</strong>cluded between parentheses <strong>in</strong> the legend are obta<strong>in</strong>ed us<strong>in</strong>g the determ<strong>in</strong>istic methodof Villanueva, Verspoor and Visscher, 2002.Data obta<strong>in</strong>ed from Diagnotec SA.and Taylor, 1997; Villanueva, Verspoor andVisscher, 2002). The <strong>in</strong>formation from the<strong>marker</strong> data available for each species canbe studied us<strong>in</strong>g exclusion probabilities,which are then used to calculate the probability(PC) of correctly assign<strong>in</strong>g the trueparent-pair (sire and dam) to offspr<strong>in</strong>g thatare genotyped (Villanueva, Verspoor andVisscher, 2002).Figure 1 presents the results for threemicrosatellites and comb<strong>in</strong>ations of microsatellitesto predict the probabilities ofexclusion and PC. The allelic frequenciesof the three microsatellites were calculatedwith a sample (n=100) from a coho salmon(O. kisutch) farm <strong>in</strong> southern Chile managedunder commercial conditions. The analysisshowed that the probability of assign<strong>in</strong>gthe true parent-pair depended greatly onthe number of parent pairs available forparentage. Only for an unrealistically smallnumber of ten sires and dams is there ahigh probability of assign<strong>in</strong>g the correctparent-pair to offspr<strong>in</strong>g. For a breed<strong>in</strong>gprogramme of 200 or 300 parent-pairs,PC decreased considerably. Therefore, <strong>in</strong>this example, more <strong>marker</strong>s are needed foraccurate pedigree reconstruction. Successfulparentage assignment experiments typicallyhave used six to eight microsatellite <strong>marker</strong>s(Herb<strong>in</strong>ger et al., 1995; Garcia de Leon etal., 1998; Norris, Bradley and Cunn<strong>in</strong>gham,2000; Castro et al., 2004). In practice, thepresence of genotyp<strong>in</strong>g errors, null alleles,realized mutations and non-Mendeliansegregation can seriously affect the efficiencyof parentage assignment (Castro etal., 2004). Parentage assignment <strong>in</strong> the con-

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