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ORNL-5388 - the Molten Salt Energy Technologies Web Site

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SRCIFIED CONSTRUCTION<br />

LlMllLD INTRODUCTION SRCIFIEO MARE1<br />

mcmR DESIGNS OBSOLLSCENT MSIGNS<br />

r7'\<br />

U-233<br />

WtDL m - W 3<br />

Fig. 6.1-5. Model for Nuclear Systems<br />

Assessment Study.<br />

6-20<br />

yJ* SUPPLY CONVLRSION<br />

Fig. 6.1-6. .Nuclear Fuel-Cycle Model.<br />

As Fig. 6.1-7 illustrates, <strong>the</strong> total levelized power cost of a reactor concept insofar<br />

as an intercomparison of concepts is concerned is dominated by <strong>the</strong> uncertainties.<br />

I<br />

In partic-<br />

ular, <strong>the</strong> total power costs for those concepts possessing <strong>the</strong> greatest resource saving (<strong>the</strong><br />

HWR and <strong>the</strong> FBR) exhibit <strong>the</strong> greatest uncertainties. The effect of <strong>the</strong> price of U308 is also<br />

significant.<br />

is significantly lower if <strong>the</strong> price of U308 i n <strong>the</strong> year of startup is $40/lb ra<strong>the</strong>r than<br />

$1 40/ 1 b.<br />

Figure 6.1-7 shows that <strong>the</strong> total power cost of <strong>the</strong> LWR on <strong>the</strong> throwaway cycle<br />

. The levelized power costs given for each reactor system in Fig. 6.1-7 were determined<br />

from <strong>the</strong> sum of <strong>the</strong> discounted values of <strong>the</strong> cash flows associated with <strong>the</strong> system divided<br />

by <strong>the</strong> discounted electrical energy production.<br />

investment, including <strong>the</strong> return of <strong>the</strong> investment and <strong>the</strong> return on <strong>the</strong> investment; (2)<br />

fixed charges, such as capital replacements, nuclear liability insurance, etc.; (3) opera-<br />

tion and maintenance costs; (4) income taxes; and (5) fuel expenses. The first four items<br />

are relatively straightforward, with <strong>the</strong> relevant data given in Appendix B.<br />

item, however, merits some additional discussion, particularly as fuel expenses relate to<br />

<strong>the</strong> valuation of <strong>the</strong> bred fissile material. For <strong>the</strong>se calculations <strong>the</strong> cost of bred fis-<br />

sile material was taken to be <strong>the</strong> "shadow price," which is <strong>the</strong> value of an additional unit<br />

of fissile material to <strong>the</strong> particular scenario in question.<br />

The cash flows considered were: (1) capital<br />

The fifth<br />

The shadow price calculated for <strong>the</strong> bred fissile material is directly related to <strong>the</strong><br />

U308 prices at and subsequent to <strong>the</strong> valuation point in time. The value of <strong>the</strong> bred fis-<br />

sile material thus increases with increasing U30, price which in turn increases as a func-<br />

tion of <strong>the</strong> cumulative quantity consumed.<br />

unit of 233U or Pu will postpone <strong>the</strong> purchase of an equivalent amount of U308, <strong>the</strong> delay<br />

having a dollar value due to <strong>the</strong> use of discounted cash flows. For those scenarios which<br />

are not resource-limited, an additional unit of bred fissile material permits <strong>the</strong> elimina-<br />

tion of an equivalent amount of U308.<br />

For <strong>the</strong> resource-limited scenarios, an additional<br />

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