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ORNL-5388 - the Molten Salt Energy Technologies Web Site

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7-25<br />

7.3.2. Considerations in Commercializing Reactors Operating<br />

on Alternate Fuels<br />

Although <strong>the</strong> introduction dates cited above for commercial operation of <strong>the</strong> various<br />

reactors on alternate fuels are considered to be attainable, <strong>the</strong>y can be realized only if<br />

<strong>the</strong> first steps toward commercialization are initiated in <strong>the</strong> near future under strong and<br />

sustained government support. Currently, <strong>the</strong>re is little economic incentive for <strong>the</strong><br />

private sector to proceed with such development alone. For example, while recent<br />

evaluations1s2 of LWRs have indicated <strong>the</strong> feasibility of using thorium-based fuels with<br />

current core and lattice designs, ei<strong>the</strong>r as reload fuels for reactors already in operation<br />

or as both initial and reload fuels for future LWRs, <strong>the</strong> resource-savings benefit of such<br />

fuels relative to once-through LEU fuel cannot be realized in <strong>the</strong> absence of fuel reprocessing<br />

and refabrication services. Moreover, <strong>the</strong> introduction of thorium into <strong>the</strong> core<br />

will require high initial uranium loadings, so that <strong>the</strong> fuel costs for <strong>the</strong> core would<br />

increase. Obviously, <strong>the</strong> lack of strong evidence that fuel recycle services would be<br />

available as soon as <strong>the</strong>y were needed would discourage a transition to thorium-based fuels.<br />

Alternatively, such services could not be expected to be available commercially until<br />

utilization of thorium has been established and a market for <strong>the</strong>se services exists.<br />

Thus commercialization of <strong>the</strong> denatured fuel cycle in LWRs, especially within <strong>the</strong> time<br />

frame postulated in this study, is unlikely unless major government incentives are provided.<br />

The government incentives could be in <strong>the</strong> form of guarantees for investment in <strong>the</strong><br />

fuel cycle services and/or subsidies for <strong>the</strong> costs associated with <strong>the</strong> additional U308 and<br />

separative work required for thorium-based fuels or for partial thorium loadings on <strong>the</strong><br />

once-through cycle. This would also encourage <strong>the</strong> development of <strong>the</strong> fuel cycle services<br />

by establishing widespread use of thorium-based fuels. The commercial introduction of <strong>the</strong><br />

required new LWR fuel cycle services could probably be accomplished by allowing a 7-yr<br />

lead time for construction of demonstration reprocessing and refabrication plants and an<br />

additional 7 yr to construct commercial-size plants. In <strong>the</strong> meantime, fabrication of<br />

MEU(235)/Th fuel or fuel designs involving partial thorium loadings for LWRs could<br />

probably be accomplished with existing LEU facilities within 2 to 3 yr (Ref. 3) with an<br />

additional 5 to 7 yr required for fuel qualification and/or demonstration. The R&D costs<br />

for demonstrating denatured uranium fuel in commercial reactors would be borne by <strong>the</strong><br />

government.<br />

The conercial introduction in <strong>the</strong> U. S. of <strong>the</strong> advanced converter concepts (SSCRs,<br />

HTGRs, and HWRs) would be more difficult today than was <strong>the</strong> past commercial introduction<br />

of <strong>the</strong> LWR. Although <strong>the</strong> introduction in 1958 of <strong>the</strong> first LWR, <strong>the</strong> Shippingport reactor,<br />

did involve government support, a relatively small investment was required due to its size<br />

(~68 MWe). The largest base-load power plants were about 300 MWe when LWRs initially penetrated<br />

<strong>the</strong> comnercial market. Also, during <strong>the</strong> initial years of deployment of nuclear power,<br />

delays due to licensing procedures were considerably shorter, a1 lowing plants to be constructed<br />

and brought on-line more rapidly than <strong>the</strong> current 10- to 12-yr lead time. The longer<br />

time causes much larger interest payments and much greater risk of licensing difficulties.

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