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Nepal Hazard Risk Assessment - Asia-Pacific Gateway for Disaster ...

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<strong>Nepal</strong> <strong>Hazard</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Assessment</strong><br />

1 INTRODUCTION<br />

1.1 BACKGROUND<br />

Due to diverse geographical coverage, <strong>Nepal</strong> is prone to various geological and hydro-meteorological<br />

hazards. Recent civil unrest, recurring floods, landslides, epidemics has lead to severe economic direct<br />

and economic losses. The impact has been further aggravated due to catalytic factors like climate<br />

change, depletion of glacier, global warming and rapid unsafe urbanization. The Government of <strong>Nepal</strong><br />

is committed to establish disaster risk reduction regime though various policies, legislations and<br />

programs. Recently, National Strategy <strong>for</strong> <strong>Disaster</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> Management has been launched by the<br />

government. This is implemented in close collaboration with ministries, departments, national<br />

institutions and international agencies like the World Bank, UNDP and other agencies. The <strong>Risk</strong><br />

mapping and expected losses due to anticipated hazards are important steps <strong>for</strong> effective and precise<br />

disaster risk management.<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> assessment provides in<strong>for</strong>mation <strong>for</strong> decision makers and planners to identify counter measures to<br />

reduce the exposure to risks. <strong>Risk</strong> mapping is the first step <strong>for</strong> <strong>for</strong>ming the national, local and sectoral<br />

disaster mitigation planning. The graph shows the linkage between disaster management cycle and<br />

hazard and risk mapping.<br />

hazard and susceptibility maps development, exposure and vulnerability assessment and risk<br />

assessment <strong>for</strong> <strong>for</strong>ming national framework <strong>for</strong> disaster risk reduction.<br />

1.2 PURPOSE OF HAZARD AND RISK MAPPING AT NATIONAL LEVEL<br />

• At present condition, several agencies have carried out risk assessment <strong>for</strong> various parts of the<br />

country at different scale. The current study will enhance the qualitative and quantitative<br />

aspects of agencies works. The study will develop comprehensive risk assessment profile <strong>for</strong><br />

the whole country at district level.<br />

• The study project will develop tools <strong>for</strong> physical vulnerability assessment of various assets at<br />

district level. This will further help in identifying most vulnerable sector and necessary<br />

measures to reduce the impacts.<br />

• The sector specific economic projection of losses will assist the concerned stakeholders to<br />

prioritize disaster risk reduction strategy.<br />

• The study will bring out existing gaps in disaster risk reduction strategies. The study will also<br />

recommend measures to improve decision making capacity.<br />

• The outcome will be useful <strong>for</strong> mainstreaming disaster risk reduction in various sectors at<br />

different level.<br />

• The assessment will help district and regional decision makers, policy makers and development<br />

agencies <strong>for</strong> preparing disaster risk reduction planning<br />

• Based on the outcome of the studies, the government may take necessary action <strong>for</strong> capacity<br />

building <strong>for</strong> disaster risk reduction.<br />

• The studies will propose robust methodology in hazard, vulnerability and risk assessment in<br />

close collaboration with national technical departments and agencies. The level of assessment<br />

will be from national to district level. These models can be utilized <strong>for</strong> replicating in other<br />

regions and countries<br />

• The study outcome will evolve economic modeling of losses caused by various major hazards<br />

on defined physical and social assets. This will help in allocating budget <strong>for</strong> disaster risk<br />

reduction <strong>for</strong> various vital infrastructure and assets.<br />

• The outcome of the study will hopefully facilitate financial support from international<br />

organizations <strong>for</strong> measures and actions that reduce the risk associated with natural hazards in<br />

<strong>Nepal</strong>.<br />

Figure 1.1: Relationship between <strong>Disaster</strong> Management Cycle and <strong>Hazard</strong> & <strong>Risk</strong> Mapping (After (BGR and GAI, 2009))<br />

There are several ways by which methodology <strong>for</strong> hazard and risk assessment can be defined. The<br />

proposed methodology is largely contextualized <strong>for</strong> practical implementation of DRM at country level.<br />

This methodology broadly identifies various essential components like collection of base line data,<br />

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