Nepal Hazard Risk Assessment - Asia-Pacific Gateway for Disaster ...

Nepal Hazard Risk Assessment
1.6 SCOPE OF THE ASSIGNMENT
The scope of the assignment will include, inter-alia, the following activities:
• Collecting and analyzing data and existing reports of the historical losses due to catastrophic
events. This should include the economic losses as well as the social impacts such as number of
people affected;
• Mapping the natural hazard risks for Nepal and detailing exposures to droughts, floods, landslides,
earthquakes, and other hazards;
• Analyzing and quantifying the projected losses in absence of mitigation investments;
• Identifying possible information gaps and outlining the need for further analytical, work to arrive at
a comprehensive quantitative risk assessment for the country (which will allow decision makers to
prioritize risk mitigation investments and measures to strengthen the emergency preparedness and
response systems).
1.7 STAKEHOLDER INVOLVE IN THE PROJECT
The project will associate three types of stakeholders. These are study project team, focal institutions
and beneficiary (other associated agencies, the World Bank, UNDP etc.)
Study team includes technical staff members from Asian Disaster Preparedness Center (ADPC),
Norwegian Geotechnical Institute (NGI), Center for International Studies and Cooperation (CECI), and
International Institute of Applied System Analysis (IIASA). Apart from these agencies, there will be
team of national and international professional experts in economic modeling, seismic analysis,
statistics, flood modeling.
Ministry of Home Affairs will be the focal point for advice, direction and evaluation as per the defined
terms and reference. The advisory committee has been formed including senior representation of
Department of Water Induced Disaster Prevention, Department of Agriculture, Department of
Hydrology and Meteorology, Department of Mines and Geology, Department of Health Services and
National Planning Commission. The World Bank will be observer during the study period. ADPC will
convene and facilitate the logistics as per the requirement.
The project team has identified beneficiaries. The role of beneficiary stakeholders is to provide
necessary data and information for assessment of economic impact of respective sectors. This class of
stakeholders includes United Nations Development program (UNDP), The International Centre for
Integrated Mountain Development (ICIMOD), Central Bureau of Statistics Ministry of Culture
Tourism & Civil Aviation, Ministry of Education & Sports, Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Health
and Population, Ministry of Agriculture and Cooperative, Ministry of Industry Commerce & Supplies,
Ministry of Information & Communications, Ministry of Local Development, Ministry of Physical
Planning & Works Department of Electricity Development, Ministry of Irrigation etc.
1.8 METHODOLOGY
The methodology primarily includes collection of baseline data, hazard and susceptibility assessment
and mapping, exposure and vulnerability assessment, economic risk assessment wrt various national
sectors. The end result of hazard and risk assessment will form the genesis for national level disaster
risk mitigation strategy. The details of the methodology may be referred in Figure 1.2
1.9 PROJECT OUTCOMES
The project outcomes include:
• Hazard Scenario Development
o Hazard Zonation maps (In appropriate scale) for Earthquake, Floods, Landslides,
Epidemics and drought
o Identification of most hazard prone areas
o Analysis and interpretation of hazard assessment for various disasters
• Vulnerability and Exposure Assessment
o GIS Maps showing elements at risk for various identified sectors
o Synthesis report on vulnerability and exposure assessment
• Detailed Economic Analysis though Loss Probability
o Modeling of aggregate and sectoral economic losses and risks
o Discussion of potential applications of economic loss assessment
o Final Report on the detailed economic analysis that includes:
• Economic loss analysis considering the indirect and macroeconomic impacts
• Recommendations and/or options for Nepal for using the economic loss analysis
for finally reducing disaster risk
• The possible optimization of financial instruments to reduce risks
• Development of the Final Report
o Possible information gaps for outlining the need for further analytical work to arrive at a
comprehensive quantitative risk assessment for the country.
o Recommendations for prioritizing the risk mitigation investments and measures to
strengthen the emergency preparedness and response mechanisms to droughts, floods,
landslides, earthquakes, and other types of hazards
o Options for improvement of institutional measures (policy, legal and institutional
development measures)
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