Nepal Hazard Risk Assessment - Asia-Pacific Gateway for Disaster ...

Nepal Hazard Risk Assessment
1.3 ASSUMPTION
1.4 PROJECT, IMPLEMENTING ORGANIZATIONS AND PARTNERS
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Resources:: The project has been allocated with limited funding support to cover project studies
and scope. With limited resources, the consultant will be largely dependent on secondary source
data and information. The consultant has ensured collection of data from various authentic
sources ranging from government ministries, departments, agencies, research and technical
organizations. The project studies will generate information and data based on secondary,
existing validated data, without field based data collection. The national agencies generously
supported the project in terms of data sharing and technical advices.
Time limitation: The time allocated for the study project is limited to 16 months. In stated time
frame, extensive hazard, vulnerability and risk assessment along with economic analysis has
been carried out. Since Time span for the study project is less, consultant has ensured
qualitative outcome within this limited time frame.
Precision Standards: The study project has ensured quality outcome with considerable
precision. In general, hazard assessment is carried out using scientific tools, are validated with
field checks. Since the time and resources are limited, consultant has validated outcome of the
hazard map with well established available data and information. The outcomes have been
validated using statistical tools and methods. For the said study, consultant has developed the
products at suitable scale.
Availability of data: For assessment of hazards, vulnerability and associated risk, several
geological, hydro-meteorological, Geo-morphological data, socio-economic data, census data
and database of infrastructure were required. Several information are available, however, large
data are missing. This limits the robustness of the modeling. The consultant has attempted to
generate and modify the data/ information based on available data suiting to the modeling
requirements.
Technical methodology : Development of methodology of the hazard, vulnerability and risk
assessment have largely depended upon availability of data and resources
Classification of hazard for modeling: Based on dataset hazards developed by the Ministry of
Home Affairs, it has been found that earthquake, floods, drought, landslide and epidemic are
major problems. The consultant has developed Hazard, vulnerability and risk mapping for
above said hazards.
Loss Estimation Data: Efforts are made to develop economic loss based of scientific model.
The data compiled by Ministry of Home Affairs for economic losses will be used for validation.
The Asian Disaster Preparedness Center (ADPC), in association with Center for International Studies
and Cooperation (CECI), Nepal and Norwegian Geotechnical Institute (NGI) has been awarded to
deliver consulting services for the study of “Nepal Hazard Risk Assessment” under F058204-GFDRR.
ADPC team will work in close association with the Ministry of Home Affairs, Department of Mines
and Geology, Department of Water Induced Disaster prevention, Department of Hydrology and
Meteorology, Department of Health Services, etc in all aspects of project implementation. Close
linkages with Department of Agriculture, Ministry of Physical Planning and Works, Ministry of
Information and Communication, will be ensured through ongoing partnership arrangements and
previous experience in working with these organizations, to facilitate secondary data collection, hazard
specific information exchange and sharing of any other data relevant to the study.
The project will cover various technical and management activities including review of ongoing studies
and activities related to various hydro-meteorological, geological and biological hazards, establish
hazard assessment methodology, approach for vulnerability assessment, exposure assessment for
various sectors (construction, social, economic, industrial, education, health, agriculture, forest assets),
economic projections of losses caused by existing major hazards. The major outcome will show the
way to identify institutional gaps, prioritizing the disaster risk reduction, options for institutional
measures etc.
The studies will provide opportunity to share existing information, data and resources in developing
comprehensive hazard assessment. The focal agencies for various hazard assessments will get
opportunity to interact with international research and development agencies, working in hazard and
disaster management.
Several recent studies have been carried out by Department of Mines and Geology, Department of
Health Services, Department of Water Induced Disaster prevention etc in hazard assessment at micro
level for pilot area. However, the hazard maps are not available at national or regional level. The
present study will collate all existing information and studies, and evolve the methodology at national
level, supported by robust and well proved technical tools.
1.5 PROJECT OBJECTIVE
The objectives of the assignment are four-fold:
• To develop a synthesis report on Nepal's major hazard risks by carrying out a desk review of
already available reports, studies, analyses and assessments regarding vulnerability and hazards
carried out at the national and sub-national levels;
• To present an overview of vulnerability assessment for the country; and
• To develop detailed economic analysis using loss probability modeling of the country’s risks with
projected economic losses from forecasted hazards, and
• To map high risk geographic regions
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