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Nepal Hazard Risk Assessment - Asia-Pacific Gateway for Disaster ...

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<strong>Nepal</strong> <strong>Hazard</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Assessment</strong><br />

1.2.7 CATEGORISATION OF LANDSLIDE HAZARD<br />

The obtained landslide hazard indices were calibrated against the databases of landslide events in<br />

selected (mostly European) countries to obtain the frequency of the events. On the basis of this<br />

calibration, the landslide hazard classifications listed in the following table were established.<br />

Values <strong>for</strong><br />

Hlandslide, rainfall<br />

Values <strong>for</strong><br />

Hlandslide, earthquake Class<br />

Classification of<br />

landslide hazard<br />

potential<br />

Representative<br />

annual frequency in<br />

1 km 2 grid cell<br />

≤ 32 ≤ 55 0 Negligible ~ 0<br />

33 – 81 56 – 146 1 Low 0.01 – 0.2 %<br />

82 – 134 147 – 164 2 Medium 0.3 – 2 %<br />

134 – 288 165 – 591 3 High 3 – 10 %<br />

Figure 1.8. Map of precipitation-induced landslide hazard in <strong>Nepal</strong>.<br />

1.3 USING THE LANDSLIDE HAZARD RESULTS IN RISK ESTIMATION<br />

The intersection of the landslide hazard "hotspots" with population density (see Figure 1.9) and<br />

infrastructure density maps, and appropriate set of socio-economic indicators (GDP, Human<br />

Development Index, etc.) provides a first-pass estimate of landslide risk "hotspots".<br />

Figure 1.7. Map of earthquake-induced landslide hazard in <strong>Nepal</strong>.<br />

Since landslides are highly correlated with other natural disasters, one may overestimate the total risk<br />

from all natural hazards if one simply adds the individual risks. This is particularly significant <strong>for</strong><br />

earthquake-induced landslides, where the fatalities due to the earthquake event reported in various<br />

databases are inclusive of those caused by landslides. In the analyses presented in this note, the landslide<br />

hazard due to earthquakes and rainfall are differentiated. This should make it possible to correct <strong>for</strong><br />

some of the correlations among the risks associated with different natural hazards when the total risk is<br />

estimated.<br />

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