Nepal Hazard Risk Assessment - Asia-Pacific Gateway for Disaster ...
Nepal Hazard Risk Assessment - Asia-Pacific Gateway for Disaster ...
Nepal Hazard Risk Assessment - Asia-Pacific Gateway for Disaster ...
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<strong>Nepal</strong> <strong>Hazard</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Assessment</strong><br />
1.2.7 CATEGORISATION OF LANDSLIDE HAZARD<br />
The obtained landslide hazard indices were calibrated against the databases of landslide events in<br />
selected (mostly European) countries to obtain the frequency of the events. On the basis of this<br />
calibration, the landslide hazard classifications listed in the following table were established.<br />
Values <strong>for</strong><br />
Hlandslide, rainfall<br />
Values <strong>for</strong><br />
Hlandslide, earthquake Class<br />
Classification of<br />
landslide hazard<br />
potential<br />
Representative<br />
annual frequency in<br />
1 km 2 grid cell<br />
≤ 32 ≤ 55 0 Negligible ~ 0<br />
33 – 81 56 – 146 1 Low 0.01 – 0.2 %<br />
82 – 134 147 – 164 2 Medium 0.3 – 2 %<br />
134 – 288 165 – 591 3 High 3 – 10 %<br />
Figure 1.8. Map of precipitation-induced landslide hazard in <strong>Nepal</strong>.<br />
1.3 USING THE LANDSLIDE HAZARD RESULTS IN RISK ESTIMATION<br />
The intersection of the landslide hazard "hotspots" with population density (see Figure 1.9) and<br />
infrastructure density maps, and appropriate set of socio-economic indicators (GDP, Human<br />
Development Index, etc.) provides a first-pass estimate of landslide risk "hotspots".<br />
Figure 1.7. Map of earthquake-induced landslide hazard in <strong>Nepal</strong>.<br />
Since landslides are highly correlated with other natural disasters, one may overestimate the total risk<br />
from all natural hazards if one simply adds the individual risks. This is particularly significant <strong>for</strong><br />
earthquake-induced landslides, where the fatalities due to the earthquake event reported in various<br />
databases are inclusive of those caused by landslides. In the analyses presented in this note, the landslide<br />
hazard due to earthquakes and rainfall are differentiated. This should make it possible to correct <strong>for</strong><br />
some of the correlations among the risks associated with different natural hazards when the total risk is<br />
estimated.<br />
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