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274 Unemployment and Monetary Policy in the European Union<br />

percent <strong>of</strong> the years, the alternative gives a smaller estimate. But on the whole<br />

one can conclude that the exercise in this Appendix does not fundamentally<br />

change the conclusion in the text that the job effect explains the bulk <strong>of</strong> the change<br />

in unemployment.<br />

Note<br />

1. With the only exception <strong>of</strong> 1993, which seems due to the exceptionally low German rate, which<br />

in turn may well reflect an underestimation <strong>of</strong> the rise in inflation.<br />

References<br />

Alogoskoufis, George, Charles Bean, Givseppe Berkla, Daniel Cohen, and Joan Doloi, Giles Saint-<br />

Pacl “Unemployment: Choices for Europe.” CEPR 1995.<br />

Drèze, J., 1995, Pour l’ emploi la croissance et l’ Europe, DeBoeck Universitè.<br />

Drèze, J., and E. Malinvaud 1994, “Growth and Employment: The Scope for a European Initiative,”<br />

European Econom (Reports and Studies), 1, pp. 75–106.<br />

Modigliani, F., 1972, “International Capital Movements, Fixed Parities, and Monetary and Fiscal Policies,”<br />

in: Development and Planning: Essays in Honor <strong>of</strong> Paul Rosenstein-Rodan, London, George<br />

Allen and Unwin Ltd., pp. 239–253.<br />

Modigliani, F., and T. Padoa-Schioppa, 1978, “The Management <strong>of</strong> an Open Economy with ‘100%<br />

Plus’ Wage Indexation,” Essarys in International Finance 130, Princeton, pp. 1–43. Reprinted in A.<br />

Abel (ed.), The collected Papers <strong>of</strong> Franco Modigliani, 3, Cambridge, MA, MIT Press, 1980.<br />

Tarentelli, E., 1988. L’utopia dei deboli è la paura dei forti, FrancoAngeli.<br />

Tarentelli, E., 1995, La forza delle idee, Laterza.

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