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"Life Cycle" Hypothesis of Saving: Aggregate ... - Arabictrader.com

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304 Miscellanea<br />

Finally, one may wish to consider a variant <strong>of</strong> (12.A-2) that measures the difference<br />

between risk-adjusted return and the return on the market as a percent <strong>of</strong><br />

the market return:<br />

RARP = 100( e() i e M -1)<br />

(12.A-3)<br />

Notes<br />

1. An alternative to the S&P 500 could be any unmanaged market portfolio (e.g., a global index fund)<br />

that represents the universe <strong>of</strong> investments relevant to the portfolio manager (or a close<br />

approximation).<br />

2. The variance <strong>of</strong> r i , V(r i ), is not necessarily the same as the variance <strong>of</strong> e i , V(e i ) = V(r i - r f ) = V(r i )<br />

+ V(r f ) - 2Cov(r i , r f ) unless r f is treated as a constant, making V(e i ) = V(r i ). We have found V(e i ) to<br />

be very close to V(r i ) and have treated r f as constant throughout this article. Note that one way to<br />

make r f constant is to set it equal to the rate (yield) on an n-year fixed-in<strong>com</strong>e security at the beginning<br />

<strong>of</strong> the n years being evaluated (this is the expectation <strong>of</strong> the short-term rates for the future n<br />

years).<br />

3. Note that here we have assumed that the borrowing and lending rates are the same. Given that<br />

investors can borrow against the equity portion <strong>of</strong> their portfolio, we do not expect the difference in<br />

borrowing and lending rates to be great. Nonetheless, changing this assumption is a relatively minor<br />

adjustment, which involves using the appropriate rate based on whether d i is positive or negative.<br />

References<br />

Jensen, Michael C. “The Performance <strong>of</strong> Mutual Funds in the Period 1945–1964.” Journal <strong>of</strong> Finance,<br />

May 1968.<br />

Sharpe, William F. “Mutual Fund Performance.” Journal <strong>of</strong> Business, Supplement on Security Prices,<br />

39 (January 1966).<br />

Treynor, Jack L. “How to Rate Management Investment Funds.” Harvard Business Review, 43<br />

(January–February 1966).

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