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The Keynesian Gospel According to Modigliani 337<br />

Table 15.1 (continued)<br />

(national currency; annual percentage change)<br />

A P FIN S UK EUR-II( 1 ) EUR-12( 2 ) EU-15( 3 ) US JP<br />

1985 5.3 22.5 10.3 7.5 7.6 6.6 6.8 6.9 4.6 2.9<br />

1986 5.5 21.6 7.3 8.7 8.0 5.5 5.7 6.2 4.1 3.2<br />

1987 4.0 14.4 7.7 7.0 7.4 4.7 4.8 5.4 4.2 3.3<br />

1988 3.8 13.1 8.9 7.5 8.3 5.0 5.2 5.8 4.8 3.8<br />

1989 4.6 15.2 10.2 11.3 9.3 5.1 5.3 6.2 3.2 4.8<br />

1990 5.2 19.2 9.3 11.3 9.0 6.8 7.0 7.5 5.2 5.5<br />

1981–90 5.3 19.1 9.7 8.5 8.7 7.3 7.5 7.7 5.4 4.0<br />

1991 6.2 18.1 6.4 6.8 9.0 6.7 6.8 7.2 4.6 4.6<br />

1992 5.8 16.3 2.2 3.9 5.3 7.7 7.8 7.2 5.3 1.3<br />

1993 5.3 6.0 0.9 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.4 2.8 0.8<br />

1994 3.8 5.6 3.1 4.8 3.4 3.0 3.1 3.2 2.4 1.8<br />

1995 5.0 7.2 3.9 2.8 2.6 3.5 3.6 3.4 1.8 1.3<br />

1996 1.5 4.9 2.7 6.8 3.7 2.9 3.0 3.2 2.5 1.1<br />

1997 1.3 3.7 1.7 3.8 4.4 2.1 2.2 2.7 3.1 1.0<br />

1998 3.4 3.7 4.1 3.3 4.9 1.4 1.5 2.2 4.4 -0.6<br />

1999 2.9 4.2 2.7 1.3 5.2 2.0 2.1 2.6 4.0 -0.9<br />

2000 2.1 5.6 4.0 7.0 4.1 2.4 2.5 2.9 4.8 0.7<br />

1991–2000 3.7 7.4 3.2 4.5 4.7 3.6 3.7 3.9 3.6 1.1<br />

2001 2.7 5.8 4.0 3.9 4.2 2.9 3.0 3.2 4.7 -1.2<br />

2002 2.0 4.2 3.5 4.0 4.4 3.0 3.0 3.3 4.7 -0.1<br />

( 1 ) PPS weighted; EU-15 excluding DK, EL, S, UK; 1961–91: including D_90.<br />

( 2 ) PPS weighted; EU-15 excluding DK, S. UK; 1961–91: including D_90.<br />

( 3 ) PPS weighted; 1961–91 including D_90.<br />

III.3 The Implications <strong>of</strong> Wage-Price Rigidity<br />

What are the implications <strong>of</strong> a rigid wage for the behavior <strong>of</strong> the price level? On<br />

this issue Keynes, somewhat surprisingly, by and large, goes along with the classics<br />

in assuming that producers behave as if they worked in a perfectly <strong>com</strong>petitive<br />

environment, adjusting employment to the point where the marginal product<br />

<strong>of</strong> labor equals the real wage. This means that price equals marginal labor cost,<br />

i.e. marginal labor input times the wage. Marginal labor input in turn is supposed<br />

to be a non-decreasing function <strong>of</strong> output. Thus for any given output, the price P<br />

is proportional to the wage. But the ratio P/W would be an increasing (non<br />

decreasing) function <strong>of</strong> aggregate output. However now a day it is widely<br />

recognized that very few markets are perfectly <strong>com</strong>petitive. For non-<strong>com</strong>petitive<br />

markets a better approximation—embodied, e.g., in the so-called (short-run) fixed<br />

“mark up” model—is to assume that the price is roughly proportional to “unit

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