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"Life Cycle" Hypothesis of Saving: Aggregate ... - Arabictrader.com

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20 The <strong>Life</strong>-Cycle <strong>Hypothesis</strong><br />

P = y<br />

c (y), y e (y), p (y), y e –1 (y)<br />

Q<br />

y e –1 (y) = y e (y)<br />

p (y)<br />

c (y)<br />

y e –1<br />

s (y)<br />

Q¢<br />

y n<br />

o<br />

y<br />

y m<br />

y<br />

Figure 1.2<br />

Consumption-In<strong>com</strong>e relation and short-term fluctuations in in<strong>com</strong>e<br />

way as it currently does. Let us further denote by the symbol x¯(y) the average<br />

value <strong>of</strong> any variable x for all the members <strong>of</strong> a given in<strong>com</strong>e bracket, y. Then the<br />

proportion <strong>of</strong> in<strong>com</strong>e consumed by the aggregate <strong>of</strong> all households whose current<br />

in<strong>com</strong>e is y is, clearly, c¯(y)/y. Our problem is, therefore, that <strong>of</strong> establishing the<br />

relation between c¯(y) and y. But, according to (II.1¢), c¯(y) is pr portional to p¯(y)<br />

whose behavior, in turn, as we see, depends on that <strong>of</strong> ȳ e (y) and ā(y). We must<br />

therefore fix our attention on the behavior <strong>of</strong> these last two quantities.<br />

In the case <strong>of</strong> a stationary cross section, illustrated in figure 1.1, we know that<br />

for every household, y e = y and also a = a(y e ,t). It follows that, for every household,<br />

p = y, and therefore the average value <strong>of</strong> p in any in<strong>com</strong>e bracket y, p¯(y),<br />

is also equal to y, i.e., p¯(y) = y. Thus, the cross-section relation between p¯(y) and<br />

y is represented by a line <strong>of</strong> slope one through the origin—the dashed line <strong>of</strong> our<br />

figure 1.1. The consumption-in<strong>com</strong>e relation is now obtained by multiplying<br />

each ordinate <strong>of</strong> this line by the constant N/L, with the result represented by<br />

the upper solid line. Because the p¯(y) line goes through the origin, so does the<br />

consumption-in<strong>com</strong>e relation, c¯(y), and the elasticity <strong>of</strong> consumption with respect<br />

to in<strong>com</strong>e is unity. These same propositions hold equally for the saving-in<strong>com</strong>e<br />

relation, s¯(y) (lower solid line <strong>of</strong> figure 1.1), obtained by subtracting c¯(y) from<br />

y. This merely illustrates a result established in the preceding section.

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