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"Life Cycle" Hypothesis of Saving: Aggregate ... - Arabictrader.com

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Risk-Adjusted Performance 297<br />

relation to the market return r M . RAP is found by moving along the portfolio’s<br />

leverage opportunity line, l i , until reaching the perpendicular line through s M , and<br />

then reading the corresponding return on the return-axis. At that point, the difference<br />

between RAP(i) and r M represents the over- or underperformance <strong>of</strong> portfolio<br />

P i in basis points.<br />

From figure 12.1 we see that while portfolio 1, represented by point P 1 , has a<br />

higher total return, r 1 , than the market, r M , its risk-adjusted performance, RAP(1),<br />

is lower than that <strong>of</strong> the market. This indicates the relative to the market benchmark,<br />

portfolio 1 does not achieve a return sufficiently above the market to <strong>com</strong>pensate<br />

investors for its extra risk. Similarly, while portfolio 2, represented by<br />

point P 2 , has a lower total return, r 2 , than the market, r M , its risk-adjusted performance,<br />

RAP(2), is higher than that <strong>of</strong> the market. This indicates that investors<br />

are more than adequately <strong>com</strong>pensated for the risk that they take with portfolio<br />

2 <strong>com</strong>pared with the market benchmark.<br />

Also, portfolio 2, with the highest RAP, achieves the highest level <strong>of</strong> return at<br />

not only the market level <strong>of</strong> risk, s M , but also at every level <strong>of</strong> risk. An investor<br />

levering or unlevering portfolio 2 would move along its leverage line, l 2 , thereby<br />

achieving the highest return for any given level <strong>of</strong> sigma corresponding to a<br />

desired level <strong>of</strong> risk.<br />

Application <strong>of</strong> the RAP Measure<br />

In table 12.1 we have applied RAP to a selection <strong>of</strong> portfolios to illustrate the<br />

difference between total and risk-adjusted return and to demonstrate the usefulness<br />

<strong>of</strong> the RAP measure. The exhibit shows that some <strong>of</strong> the most glamorous<br />

funds turn out to be far less attractive on a risk-adjusted basis.<br />

Consider, for example, the T. Rowe Price New Horizon fund. Over the last ten<br />

years, the New Horizon fund produced an average annual return <strong>of</strong> 16 percent,<br />

significantly outperforming the 14.1 percent return <strong>of</strong> the S&P 500. It was substantially<br />

more volatile than the market, however.<br />

An evaluation <strong>of</strong> risk-adjusted performance requires that portfolios be measured<br />

on a risk-equivalent basis. In order to “dampen” the New Horizon fund’s<br />

volatility to match it to that <strong>of</strong> that <strong>of</strong> the S&P 500, it would have been necessary<br />

to liquidate 36 percent <strong>of</strong> the fund and invest the proceeds in risk-free assets<br />

(see last column <strong>of</strong> table 12.1). The yield <strong>of</strong> this restructured portfolio is precisely<br />

RAP and, as reported in column (5), is but 12.2 percent, well below the market’s<br />

14.1 percent. By the same token, investors who preferred the greater level <strong>of</strong><br />

volatility associated with the New Horizon fund could have made higher returns<br />

by levering the S&P 500 (22 percent versus 16 percent).

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