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"Life Cycle" Hypothesis of Saving: Aggregate ... - Arabictrader.com

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328 Miscellanea<br />

mammoth unemployment (though Europe’s opinion leaders refuse to understand<br />

it, blaming other fictitious causes).<br />

2. Teaching how this illness could be cured (a teaching that EMS countries still<br />

refuse to learn).<br />

3. Proving that, if one fails to understand and apply the appropriate cures, this<br />

illness could last for a long time (as EMS countries are learning).<br />

My purpose here is to develop a synthetic model <strong>of</strong> Keynes’s construction<br />

designed to lay out its essence in readily understandable form. This is not my<br />

first endeavor to do so. But the present version differs from my previous papers,<br />

published throughout my career, starting from my first on “Liquidity Preference.”<br />

The difference springs in part from the fact that the new presentation is meant to<br />

be understandable by a non-technical audience, but in part it reflects my recent<br />

realization, that it is possible to use a model different from the prevailing one,<br />

which stresses the <strong>com</strong>munality between Keynes and the classical theory. In fact,<br />

I will argue that the classical model is but a special case <strong>of</strong> Keynes’s General<br />

Theory. It applies only to an economy in which wages (and prices) are highly<br />

flexible downward in response to “excess supply,” and financial markets are<br />

unimportant. It should be obvious that this special case is <strong>of</strong> very little relevance<br />

to the present-day developed economies, and so are the analytical and policy conclusions<br />

that follow from it.<br />

It is my ambition that anyone who accepts the validity <strong>of</strong> the classical theory<br />

<strong>of</strong> the demand for money—the foundation for the so-called quantity theory—will,<br />

at the end <strong>of</strong> this essay, fully understand the scope and nature <strong>of</strong> Keynesian unemployment,<br />

and <strong>com</strong>e to admire with me the greatness and originality <strong>of</strong> his contribution.<br />

A reader impatient to know what this paper is all about is invited to<br />

glance at the first paragraph under “Concluding Remarks.”<br />

I The Concept <strong>of</strong> Equilibrium and the Money Market<br />

I.1 The Classical Model <strong>of</strong> Market Equilibrium and the Role <strong>of</strong> Price<br />

Flexibility<br />

Economists model the whole economic system as <strong>com</strong>posed by a series <strong>of</strong><br />

markets in each <strong>of</strong> which the quantity exchanged and its price tend to an equilibrium<br />

or sustainable value. If the market is <strong>com</strong>petitive (i.e. there are no legal<br />

or economic impediments to the entry and exit <strong>of</strong> buyers and sellers), the market<br />

mechanism generating the equilibrium can de described by the well-known “law”<br />

<strong>of</strong> demand and supply. The demand is described by a schedule indicating the<br />

quantity that would be bought at different prices. It can be represented graphically<br />

by a curve like DD in figure 15.1, in which the quantity (q) is measured

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