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14-1190b-innovation-managing-risk-evidence

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100<br />

substantially higher predictive power 3, 41 . In the United States,<br />

distrust in repository management was mainly linked to<br />

opposition to the proposed siting of the Yucca mountain<br />

radioactive waste repository, because of the perceived<br />

<strong>risk</strong> of the waste site 42 . Other studies show that trust is<br />

significant across a range of hazards and <strong>risk</strong>s 43 , although the<br />

precise underlying reasons for trust and distrust may vary<br />

in different <strong>risk</strong> cases and contexts. In the case of GM crops,<br />

for example, it was the ambiguity of <strong>risk</strong>s (see Chapter 4)<br />

alongside concern about the activities of large multinational<br />

corporations imposing <strong>risk</strong>s on people without their<br />

consent; for foot and mouth disease, it was the insensitivity<br />

to local impacts of the central management strategies.<br />

In conceptual terms, trust cuts across all of the main<br />

approaches to <strong>risk</strong> perceptions described above, while<br />

a number of recent <strong>risk</strong> controversies — including BSE<br />

and GM crops — have made policymakers aware that the<br />

public have become key players in many controversial <strong>risk</strong><br />

issues, and that (dis)trust may be a core component of<br />

this 39, 44 . Trust is often conceptualized as a set of cognitive<br />

judgements along discrete dimensions that are primarily<br />

related to the (presumed) behaviour of <strong>risk</strong> managers,<br />

particularly around their care, competence and vested<br />

interest 43, 45 . We trust people, experts and institutions if they<br />

act in a caring way towards us, are knowledgeable about<br />

the domain at hand, and are demonstrably free from any<br />

self-serving interest or partisan bias (and ideally those who<br />

simultaneously exhibit all three!). These three dimensions<br />

help to explain why ‘independent scientists’ remain some of<br />

the most trusted social actors in relation to communicating<br />

about controversial <strong>risk</strong> issues. Other more recent work<br />

suggests that social trust and cooperation can also be built<br />

on the identity-based concepts of value similarity. That is, we<br />

tend to trust people who share our values or are members<br />

of our own social group, especially when information about<br />

a <strong>risk</strong> is either uncertain or sparse 46 .<br />

Walls et al 47 point out that these different components<br />

of trust can exist in tension, with social trust likely to<br />

emerge as multidimensional and fragmented, as a product<br />

of a reconciliation of competing ideas, knowledge and<br />

impressions. They introduce the important concept of ‘critical<br />

trust’ as an organising principle, something which lies on<br />

‘Independent scientists’<br />

remain some of the<br />

most trusted social<br />

actors in relation to<br />

communicating about<br />

controversial <strong>risk</strong> issues.<br />

It is entirely rational not<br />

to wish to place complete<br />

blind faith on any<br />

organization or individual<br />

who holds the power of<br />

life or death over us or<br />

over the environment.<br />

a continuum between outright scepticism (rejection) and<br />

uncritical emotional acceptance. Such a concept attempts<br />

to reconcile a situation in which people actually rely on<br />

<strong>risk</strong> <strong>managing</strong> institutions while simultaneously possessing<br />

a critical attitude toward the effectiveness, motivations or<br />

independence of the agency in question 43,48 . Again, from<br />

a policy perspective it is entirely rational not to wish to<br />

place complete blind faith on any organization or individual<br />

who holds the power of life or death over us or over the<br />

environment. And although for many policymakers the<br />

‘reclamation of trust’ has become an explicit objective, this<br />

suggests that <strong>risk</strong> communication efforts that are aimed<br />

at directly increasing trust may not be universally effective<br />

in solving <strong>risk</strong> controversies 49 . Such policies could well be<br />

counterproductive where they are based on the incorrect<br />

assumption that trust can be simply manipulated in order<br />

to increase the acceptance of a controversial <strong>risk</strong>. If Beck<br />

and Giddens are right about the emergence of a <strong>risk</strong> society,<br />

<strong>risk</strong> communicators will have to find new ways of working<br />

under conditions of permanently eroded trust. Accordingly,<br />

policy advice today tends to stress the importance of<br />

analytic-deliberative engagement and dialogue as the<br />

means for exploring the values and perceptions underlying<br />

<strong>risk</strong> controversies and for exploring routes to better<br />

<strong>risk</strong> communication and conflict resolution 50, 51 (see also<br />

Chapter 5 and Chapter 9). Although such methods have<br />

an established empirical track-record when used to resolve<br />

local site-based facility siting and other controversies, scaling<br />

up to national-level questions such as national energy<br />

strategies or policies to tackle global environmental <strong>risk</strong>s<br />

set a range of very difficult conceptual and methodological<br />

challenges 52 . Pidgeon and Fischhoff 8 argue, in the context<br />

of climate change <strong>risk</strong>s, that all of this points to the need<br />

in the United Kingdom, as elsewhere, to develop novel<br />

strategic capacity and skills in <strong>risk</strong> communication and<br />

public engagement with science. This requires us to bring<br />

together expertise from fundamental domain sciences such<br />

as radiation protection, climate change, or biosciences, with<br />

the appropriate social sciences of decision analysis and <strong>risk</strong><br />

communication.

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