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14-1190b-innovation-managing-risk-evidence

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80<br />

THE INDUSTRY PERSPECTIVE<br />

Steve Elliott (Chemical Industries Association)<br />

The chemical and pharmaceutical industries are the<br />

United Kingdom’s biggest manufacturing export<br />

earner. Our products and technologies support<br />

modern life, both directly and through the manufactured<br />

products that they enable. Our sector is also energy- and<br />

trade-intensive, however, so this contribution is critically<br />

dependent on secure and competitively-priced supplies<br />

of fuel, which provide both feedstocks (raw material) and<br />

energy. We are therefore concerned that, for energyintensive<br />

industries, UK energy costs are becoming<br />

increasingly uncompetitive and there is a growing reliance on<br />

imported gas. Provided it is exploited in an environmentally<br />

safe way, we believe that the country’s indigenous shale gas<br />

resources offer a secure and potentially competitive source<br />

of feedstock and fuel.<br />

Until now, chemical businesses have relied on the North<br />

Sea for feedstock supplies, but these supplies are diminishing.<br />

We use this feedstock to make the basic chemicals that<br />

provide key building blocks for almost every sector of<br />

manufacturing and the wider economy. In the United States,<br />

the shale gas ‘revolution’ has triggered planned investments<br />

in chemical capacity worth $<strong>14</strong>0 billion. While UK chemical<br />

businesses are installing facilities to import US feedstock,<br />

the development of indigenous shale-gas supplies could<br />

provide a more secure and potentially competitive source,<br />

and improve the business case for further investments in UK<br />

chemical capacity.<br />

We are also paying more for gas as a fuel than many<br />

competing production locations, with costs more than three<br />

times higher than in the United States. Recent events have<br />

shown that the security and affordability of UK energy<br />

supplies is a concern both for households as well as large<br />

energy users like the chemicals industry. UK policy is driving<br />

the replacement of old electricity-generating stock with a<br />

low-carbon generating mix, and this will significantly increase<br />

electricity prices out to 2020. Far from our dependence on<br />

gas diminishing, more gas-fired generation will be needed<br />

during the transition if we are to ‘keep the lights on’, and it<br />

will then play a major role in backing intermittent renewable<br />

power. Gas will also continue to be the main source of heat<br />

in homes and industry. But we already import over half our<br />

needs, and this reliance is set to rise to 80% by 2020. This<br />

makes the UK more vulnerable to supply uncertainties, with<br />

gas prices particularly high and volatile in cold winters. The<br />

availability of shale gas could therefore be a key contributor<br />

to both secure and affordable energy.<br />

The development of shale gas will bring multiple economic<br />

benefits to the United Kingdom. The development of shale<br />

gas will bring multiple economic benefits to the United<br />

Kingdom. It is a key enabler for our shared vision with<br />

government of a 50% growth by 2030 of the chemical and<br />

pharmaceutical industries’ contribution to the country’s<br />

economy. We already have a turnover of £60 billion and<br />

support 500,000 jobs both directly and indirectly. Such<br />

growth will enhance the provision of key building blocks<br />

for almost every sector of the economy — from cars and<br />

planes through to houses, medicines, televisions and mobile<br />

phones — products which also support our modern lives.<br />

Estimates suggest that UK shale gas development will<br />

require supply chain spending of £3.3 billion per annum and<br />

generate 64,500 jobs. Communities will also receive direct<br />

benefits from local shale gas development.<br />

However, it is vital for communities in the UK to<br />

be confident that shale gas can be developed in an<br />

environmentally safe way. There is now a substantive<br />

<strong>evidence</strong> base from government and independent expert<br />

bodies that addresses concerns on key issues including<br />

seismic activity, water use, impacts on ground water and<br />

emissions, and the use of chemicals in fracking fluid. The<br />

United Kingdom also has a strong regulatory framework for<br />

shale gas development. It is now time for government and<br />

industry to redouble their efforts to address environmental<br />

concerns and explain the economic benefits.<br />

The chemical and<br />

pharmaceutical industries<br />

are the United Kingdom’s<br />

biggest manufacturing<br />

export earner.

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